Saturday, May 21

Chiefs Fall From Latest Super Bowl Odds Perch; Titans and Bengals Rising

D'Onta Foreman flex

Tennessee Titans running back D’Onta Foreman celebrates after scoring a touchdown on a 21-yard run against the Miami Dolphins in the first half of an NFL football game Sunday, Jan. 2, 2022, in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Wade Payne)
  • The Chiefs lose to the Bengals, fall from top of Super Bowl odds
  • Titans beat the Dolphins, claim AFC South crown and seek top playoff seed in the conference
  • Check out the updated Super Bowl odds after Sunday’s games

Just when you thought the NFL universe was aligning, along comes Week 17 to rattle the 2022 Super Bowl odds.

The Kansas City Chiefs’ 8-game winning streak is toast, buried under a hailstorm of Ja’Marr Chase bombs from Joe Burrow. Such a strength the last few months, KC’s defense was shredded, and it’s dropped them down their perch as title favorites.

Green Bay, currently taking on the Vikings on Sunday Night Football, have jumped to the top spot. It was business as usual for Buffalo and Tampa — not including an Antonio Brown mid-game meltdown.

Other developments include the Tennessee Titans refusing to go away, now currently in the driver’s seat for the AFC top seed, while the script flipped in just over a week with the Cardinals downing the Cowboys in Big D.

It’s caused some moving and shaking, so let’s run down the latest odds and try to make some logical wagers as the big game nears.

2022 Super Bowl Odds

Team Odds
Green Bay Packers +400
Kansas City Chiefs +490
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +700
Buffalo Bills +850
Los Angeles Rams +950
Dallas Cowboys +1100
Tennessee Titans +1300
Arizona Cardinals +1400
New England Patriots +1400
Cincinnati Bengals +1800
Indianapolis Colts +2000
San Francisco 49ers +3100
Los Angeles Chargers +4500
Philadelphia Eagles +5000
Las Vegas Raiders +10000
New Orleans Saints +16000
Minnesota Vikings +23000
Baltimore Ravens +28000
Pittsburgh Steelers +55000
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*Odds as of Jan 2 from FanDuel.

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Titans Seek AFC’s Top Seed

How badly could Tennessee use that No. 1 seed and the only playoff bye this season? It’s literally the difference between a one-and-done postseason stop, or a deep run with a healthy and rested Derrick Henry.

The Titans are within reach, after KC lost to the Bengals and they took care of business at home, ending the Dolphins’ 7-game winning streak in a 34-3 drubbing.

On a rainy and cold afternoon, D’Onta Foreman did his best Henry impersonation, carrying 26 times for 132 yards and a touchdown. Ryan Tannehill was a quiet but efficient 13-for-18 for 120 yards and a pair of TD tosses.

Their defense was stout, sacking Tua Tagovailoa four times and picking him off once. Tennessee is back-to-back AFC South champion, and a win in Houston locks up top seed.

They sport the 7th-best championship odds at +1300, shortened from last week’s +1600 mark. Assuming Henry will be back, this is looking like good value right now.

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Bengals Top Chiefs

Cincinnati beat the Chiefs in a thrilling 34-31 contest, as Joe Burrow and that offense showed what kind of damage they can do.

Ja’Marr Chase was in full video game mode, piling up 11 catches for an NFL rookie-record 266 yards and three TD’s, while Burrow followed up his 525-yard afternoon against Baltimore with a 446-yard, 4-TD performance.

Their offensive line is worrisome, and other than their run defense, which surrenders less than 100 yards per game, their D is middle of the pack. Still, the Bengals are AFC North champions, and their explosive offense make them the upstart no one wants a part of in the playoffs.

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Cincy cracks the top 10, jumping from +2600 odds to +1800 Super Bowl odds after their win. They are still a team worth considering for a long-shot wager.

As for the Chiefs, they’re still a favorite. Patrick Mahomes looked like gangbusters, throwing for over 200 first-half yards but finishing with only 259 for the game and two TD tosses.

That defense, which was so air tight in recent weeks, looked more like the beleaguered squad that struggled to start the year, and couldn’t get the ball back to Mahomes as the Bengals milked away the final six minutes before kicking a field goal to win as time expired.

However, Tony Romo said it a bunch over the broadcast but it bears mentioning: this new, less breakneck, but more physical, power team that runs to set up the pass makes them really dangerous. Assuming their defense plays even average, this is still a legit title contender.

They’re now at +490 odds, lengthening from +370.

Cardinals Down Cowboys

The Arizona Cardinals looked like they were destined for an early playoff exit after dropping three straight and tumbling out of the NFC West lead. As we’ve seen so many times this season, however, winning cures everything.

That was the case Sunday, as the Cards handled the Dallas Cowboys 25-22, keeping their division title hopes alive. More importantly, they showed they could still play at an elite level.

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Arizona’s defense was impressive in shutting down the Dallas’ top-ranked offense, which averages 30.5 points per game.  Dallas was held to 301 total yards, and just 45 on the ground.

Meanwhile, Kyler Murray was solid, throwing for 263 yards and a pair of scores. Arizona jumps from +2100 odds down to +1400, tied for eighth with the Patriots.

As for Dallas, a week after lighting the Washington Football Team on fire, putting up 42 points at halftime, they could only muster seven against Arizona.

Their defense, usually a big difference-maker in key moments — tied for the league lead in takeaways — could only muster one sack and didn’t force any turnovers.

Oddsmakers are considering this an off-night, as Dallas fades only slightly, from +1000 to +1100. While they’re not one of the top four (Packers, Chiefs Bills and Buccaneers), they can get it done on both sides of the ball and have good value in this spot.

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