Monday, June 27

Marseille vs Monaco Odds & Prediction – Ligue 1 Round 27


Marseille’s team players celebrate after the Europa Conference League play-off, second leg, soccer match between FK Qarabag and Marseille at the Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium in Baku, Azerbaijan, Thursday, Feb. 24, 2022. (AP Photo)
  • It’s Marseille vs Monaco in Ligue 1 on Sunday, March 6 at 2:45 pm ET
  • PSG lead Ligue 1 by 15 points but Marseille are in second, with Monaco down in 9th
  • We preview the game, look at the odds, and offer some picks below

It is Marseille vs Monaco on Sunday, March 6 at 2:45 pm ET at the Orange Velodrome. Both teams will be looking to return to winning ways after Jorge Sampaoli’s team could manage only a draw in their home game with Troyes, while Monaco lost their Coupe de France semi-final against Nantes.

We preview Marseille vs Monaco and offer below the best picks for this Ligue 1 clash.

Marseille vs Monaco Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Marseille vs Monaco MAR -0.5 (+130) | MON +0.5 (-159) MAR +128 | DRAW +205 | MON +235 Ov 2.5 (-112) | Un 2.5 (-112)

Odds as of March 5 at Barstool Sportsbook.

The bookies think this will be close with both teams in plus money but have Marseille as slight favorites in the Ligue 1 odds for the home win at +138, with an implied win probability of 43.9%. At +235, Monaco has a 29.9% implied probability of a win.

If you’re new to this sport and need advice on soccer betting’s pros and cons, there are plenty of directions you can go to betting this match and others.

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Ligue 1 Title is Already PSG’s

Marseille may have booked themselves a place in the next round of the Europa Conference League with a solid two-legged win over Qarag of Baku ten days ago but was made to pay the price for that long journey home when they failed to see off Troyes last weekend. Things looked promising for them after  Dimitri Payet gave them the lead but tired legs and minds saw them concede a 90th-minute equalizer.

As a result, they fell to 15 points behind PSG with 12 to play – a lead that the Parisians are simply not going to lose. It has been a valiant effort from the men from the South of France to even make it a title race but their race was effectively run once they dropped five points from the last six on offer. Their fight now is to stay in second and secure a place in next season’s Champions League.

A Reset Needed for Marseille

Marseille coach Jorge Sampaoli now has to somehow reinvigorate his men so they at least stay in the top three but they are being pushed hard by Nice, Rennes and Strasbourg. And they have hit a form blip at the worst possible time with a run of poor home form coupled with no clean sheets in their last five.

One win in their last five at the Velodrome suggests that Les Olympiens are happier playing away from home right now and there is also the fact have the first-leg of their Europa League round-of-16 tie with Basel on Thursday to consider when Sampaoli picks his squad.

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Marseille vs Monaco Head-to-Head Stats

13-8-5 Ligue 1 record 10-8-8
39 Goals for 39
24 Goals against 29
2nd Position in Ligue 1 9th
L-W-W-L-W-D Form guide (all competitions) W-W-D-D-L-L

Coupe de France Disappointment for Monaco

Monaco comes into this game off the back of a huge disappointment after losing on Wednesday to Nantes on penalties in the semifinal of the Coupe de France. This was Philippe Clement’s last chance of seeing his team win some silverware this season and the Monaco coach is now under huge pressure after a poor run has form has seen them drop out of contention for the European places.

The Nantes defeat came three days after the Monégasques had lost 2-1 at home to Reims in Ligue 1 – a result that meant they have not managed a win in their last four games across all competitions. Their hopes of playing in Europe next season are going to disappear fast unless they can arrest this untimely slide.

Big Test for the Monégasques

As a result of this poor run, Clement’s team is down in ninth but are still only five points adrift of fifth place which brings with it a place in the Europa Conference League side, so all is not lost. They do however have to find a way to win on the road where they have not won in four and have won just once in their last eight games.

When these two sides met earlier in the season in Monaco in the Stade Louis II, Marseille came away with a 2-0 win and this is generally not a good fixture for Sunday’s visitors, having not managed a clean sheet against Marseille since the 2016-17 season.

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Marseille vs Monaco Picks

With both teams struggling, this is tricky to call but with the pressure on Marseille for a win to keep their Champions League tilt on track, I see value in the home win, which remains in plus money.

The greater quality in Clement’s squad, together with Monaco’s midweek heartache, will make this a difficult afternoon for the visitors.

Picks: Marseille to win (+128)


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