Tuesday, May 17

Blue Jays vs Yankees Odds, Picks, and Predictions (May 11)

New York Yankees center fielder Aaron Judge is mobbed by teammates after a walk-off home run

May 10, 2022; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees center fielder Aaron Judge (99) is greeted by his teammates after hitting a walk-off three-run home run to defeat the Toronto Blue Jays 6-5 at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Yankees are -143 home favorites over the Blue Jays on Wednesday
  • Jameson Taillon (2-1, 2.84) will pitch for New York against Jose Berrios (2-1, 5.34)
  • A look at the matchup and odds can be found below

The New York Yankees will look to sweep a two-game series from the American League East rival Toronto Blue Jays at 12:35 p.m. ET Wednesday at Yankee Stadium.

The division-leading Yankees (21-8/13-4 home) won the series opener 6-5 on Tuesday night for their third win in the last four games and 14th win in 16 games. The Blue Jays (17-14/7-8 road) are on a three0game losing streak.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Toronto Blue Jays +120 +1.5 (-186) Over 7.5 (-104)
New York Yankees -143 -1.5 (+148) Under 7.5 (-115)

Odds as of May 11th at Barstool Sportsbook.

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The Yankees are -143 favorites in a game that will be televised by MLB Network, giving them a 58.85% implied win probability. Despite their places in the standings, the Blue Jays have +775 World Series odds while the Yankees are listed at +1100.

The weather forecast calls for sunny, a high temperature of 67 degrees and northeast wind from 11-14 mph.

Toronto vs New York Probable Pitchers

Jose Berrios (2-1, 5.34) will pitch for the Blue Jays against Jameson Taillon (2-1, 2.84). Berrios will be working on five days rest and Taillon on six.

Berrios vs Taillon

Jose Berrios
Jameson Taillon
2-1 Record 2-1
5.34 ERA 2.84
7.69 xERA 2.85
1.64 WHIP 1.14
2.00 SO/W 10.50

Berrios took his first loss of the season last Thursday against the Guardians at Cleveland. He was rocked for six runs on eight hits in 4.2 innings with one walk and no strikeouts.

In eight career starts against the Yankees, Berrios is 2-3 with a 4.89 ERA. He has a 1-3 record at Yankee Stadium with a 5.88 ERA in six starts.

The poor results aren’t the lack of a good attitude for Berrios who has +7500 AL Cy Young odds.

Berrios is 1-1 on the road with a 5.74 ERA in three starts this season. He has won his lone start in the day, beating the Houston Astros on April 30 in Toronto when he yielded one run in 5.2 innings.

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Aaron Judge is 8 for 14 (.571) against Berrios with a double and two homers. However, Joey Gallo is 1 for 14 (.071) with six strikeouts.

Taillon is 2-0 in his last four starts since losing in his season debut. He beat the Blue Jays in Toronto last Wednesday, giving up only one run and five hits in six innings while striking out four and not issuing a walk.

In his career against the Blue Jays, Taillon is 2-3 with a 4.20 ERA in six starts.

Taillon has a 1-1 record with a 3.07 ERA in three starts in the Bronx in 2022. His only start in a day game was April 16 when he allowed two runs in 4.2 innings and had a no-decision against the Orioles in Baltimore.

Bo Bichette has five hits in 13 career at-bats against Taillon for a .385 average with two doubles and Vladimir Guerrero is 4 for 12 (.333) with two doubles and a home run. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is just 1 for 10 (.100).

Blue Jays vs Yankees Betting Outlook

Judge hit his first career walk-off home run Tuesday night, a three-run shot in the ninth inning off closer Jordan Romano that lifted the Yankees to a one-run win over the Blue Jays.

The Yankees’ other three runs came on a home run by Giancarlo Stanton in the sixth inning that tied the score 3-3. Judge and Stanton have homered in the same games 20 times and the Yankees have won 19 times.

Toronto went ahead 5-3 in the eighth when Gurriel hit a tiebreaking double during the two-run inning. George Springer hit a leadoff home run for the Blue Jays.

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The Yankees are 5-3 against the Blue Jays this season, including 3-2 at home. New York has a slight 29-27 advantage in the series since the start of the 2019 season.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
5/10/22 Yankees Blue Jays NYY, 6-5
5/4/22 Blue Jays Yankees TOR, 2-1
5/3/22 Blue Jays Yankees NYY, 9-1
5/2/22 Blue Jays Yankees NYY, 3-2
4/14/22 Yankees Blue Jays NYY, 3-0
4/13/22 Yankees Blue Jays TOR, 6-4
4/12/22 Yankees Blue Jays NYY, 4-0
4/11/22 Yankees Blue Jays TOR, 3-0
9/30/21 Blue Jays Yankees NYY, 6-2
9/29/21 Blue Jays Yankees TOR, 6-5

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction

After trading with the Minnesota Twins for Berrios last July, the Blue Jays signed him to a seven-year, $141-million contract extension in the offseason. However, they haven’t received a favorable rate of return so far this season while Taillon has quietly been pitching well for the Yankees. Thus, New York is the play here.

Pick: Yankees ML (-143)

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