Thursday, May 19

May 11 NBA Player Props – Bucks vs Celtics, Grizzlies vs Warriors Game 5 Over/Unders and Prop Picks

Wiggins dunking

May 1, 2022; Memphis, Tennessee, USA; Golden State Warriors guard Andrew Wiggins (22) dunks the ball against the Memphis Grizzlies during game one of the second round for the 2022 NBA playoffs at FedExForum. Mandatory Credit: Joe Rondone-USA TODAY Sports
  • We’ve got two Game 5s on Wednesday night
  • Milwaukee and Boston matchup with the series tied, while the Warriors carry a 3-1 lead over the Grizzlies
  • Read below for May 11 NBA player props and our best bets

Wednesday night brings us two more Game 5s. We could find out our first conference finalist with the Golden State Warriors holding a 3-1 lead over the Memphis Grizzlies. The Dubs are on the road for Game 5, but with Ja Morant ruled out, Steph Curry and co are still favored by four points.

It’s all to play for in the other game with the Bucks and Celtics tied at two wins apiece. Boston is 5.5-point favorites at home, though Milwaukee already has a road win to its name in this series.

NBA Player Props – May 11th

MIL @ BOS Points Rebounds Assists Three Pointers Made
Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) 31.5 (O -114 | U -108) 13.5 (O +104 | U -128) 6.5 (O -134 | U +110) 0.5 (O -162 | U +126)
Jrue Holiday (MIL) 21.5 (O +104 | U -128) 5.5 (O +114 | U -140) 6.5 (O -142 | U +116) 1.5 (O -200 | U +154)
Jayson Tatum (BOS) 28.5 (O -112 | U -108) 6.5 (O -122 | U +100) 5.5 (O -112 | U -108) 3.5 (O +100 | U -128)
Jaylen Brown (BOS) 24.5 (O -116 | U -106) 6.5 (O -106 | U -114) 4.5 (O +124 | U -152) 2.5 (O -130 | U +108)
Al Horford (BOS) 14.5 (O +102 | U -126) 9.5 (O -110 | U -110) 3.5 (O +100 | U -122) 2.5 (O +148 | U -192)
GSW @ MEM Points Rebounds Assists Three Pointers Made
Steph Curry (GSW) 28.5 (O -110 | U -110) 5.5 (O +106 | U -130) 6.5 (O +104 | U -128) 3.5 (O -132 | U +104)
Klay Thompson (GSW) 21.5 (O -102 | U -120) 4.5 (O +106 | U -130) 2.5 (O +106 | U -130) 3.5 (O -104 | U -122)
Andrew Wiggins (GSW) 15.5 (O -116 | U -104) 5.5 (O -140 | U +114) OFF 1.5 (O +132 | U -170)
Tyus Jones (MEM) 14.5 (O +100 | U -122) 3.5 (O -118 | U -104) 6.5 (O -118 | U -104) 1.5 (O -205 | U +158)
Dillon Brooks (MEM) 19.5 (O -112 | U -108) 3.5 (O -118 | U -104) 3.5 (O -115 | U -105) 1.5 (O -170 | U +132)
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Odds as of May 11 at FanDuel Sportsbook

Having seen their NBA Championship odds slip after their Game 4 loss, the Milwaukee Bucks need another mega performance from Giannis Antetokounmpo on Wednesday night. The two-time MVP has the highest points line of the night at 31.5, and he’s far clear of anyone else at 13.5 rebounds.

Wiggins Stays Steady

Andrew Wiggins has scored 17, 16, 17 and 17 in this series. The former first overall pick has collected eight, nine, three and 10 rebounds. That’s three games where he’s cruised past this 21.5 points and rebounds mark, and the only game he fell short was the Game 3 blowout where he was held to under 26 minutes on the court.

Wiggins has provided the consistency that the Dubs have needed while the perimeter shooting of Steph Curry, Klay Thompson and Jordan Poole has come and gone. He’s being aggressive as an offensive rebounder and attacking closeouts, quietly being an important piece of this Warriors team at both ends of the floor.

His rebounding is crucial at both ends, particularly with the Dubs playing so many small lineups. The scoring is supplementary at this stage, but perhaps that’s the role where Wiggins is best suited. He’s more than a standard 3-and-D, though he’s no longer overtaxed as a create-for-yourself scorer.

Wiggins has passed this line in six of nine playoff games and three of four in this series. It’s a good value wager at -125.

  • Pick: Andrew Wiggins over 21.5 points and rebounds (-125)

Going With Al Again

We’re rolling with Al Horford after two massive performances in Games 3 and 4. Horford dropped 52 points and grabbed 24 boards over the last two. While such scoring output is unlikely, he’s been a force on the boards throughout the series, reaching double figures in the first three games.

Horford has gone way past this 23.5 points and rebounds line in the last two. He was just shy of it in the first two games. He’s taken more shots in the last two than in any other contests this postseason, and his 17 field goal attempts in Game 4 was his most of the season.

Robert Williams’ availability obviously has a slight impact on Horford’s rebounding opportunities, but he’s grabbed plenty of boards even when Williams is available. On offense, he has taken on a bigger role with Marcus Smart limited by injury and inconsistent play from Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown.

Knocking down jumpers when left open and attacking off the bounce frequently, Horford should at least get into the teens in scoring again. It would be a shock if he had fewer than eight rebounds. Even though the last two games aren’t necessarily sustainable, there’s value on this points and rebounds over.

  • Pick: Al Horford over 23.5 points and rebounds (-122)
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