Friday, May 27

Padres vs Braves Odds, Lines and Spread (May 14)

Braves vs Padres MLB

Apr 17, 2022; San Diego, California, USA; Atlanta Braves shortstop Dansby Swanson (right) throws to first base late after forcing out San Diego Padres catcher Austin Nola (26) at second base during the second inning at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Atlanta Braves are -135 home favorites over the San Diego Padres in an MLB game slated for Saturday, May 14
  • Entering play Friday San Diego was 4-2 straight up in the club’s last six games at Atlanta
  • See the Braves vs Padres odds, picks, predictions and best bets below

Both the Atlanta Braves and San Diego Padres are highly touted in the World Series odds. But while the Padres are living up to expectations, it’s the defending World Series champion Braves who find themselves scuffling.

Playing host to the Padres in the second of a three-game weekend series, the Braves took the diamond on Friday second in the NL East but two games below .500 with a 15-17 record. Meanwhile, the Padres were in the thick of the NL West race at 20-12, one game behind the division-leading Los Angeles Dodgers.

Still, it’s the defending champs who are getting the love from the oddsmakers. The Braves are set as -135 favorites in this game. Atlanta is 17-13-2 on the total this season. At 56.7%, the Braves are the third-best over play in all of MLB.

Padres vs Braves Odds

Odds as of May 13th at Caesars Sportsbook

The first pitch at Truist Park is due to be thrown at 4:05 pm ET on Saturday, May 14. Cloudy skies, 6 mph wind and a temperature of 78 degrees is in the forecast.

With a favorite’s moneyline of -135, the Braves are being given an implied probability of victory of 57.45%.

As far as public betting trends, 52% of the bets placed against the spread are on the Padres at +1.5. Meanwhile, the moneyline splits show 71% of the bets are on the Braves at -13 odds, The total shows 52% of the public bets are on the Under (8).

Atlanta is +1200 to win the World Series, while San Diego is +1700. In terms of the NL pennant odds, the Braves are the third betting choice (+625) and the Padres are fifth (+850).

Charlie Morton Finding His Mojo?

It’s been a season of struggle thus far for Braves veteran right-hander Charlie Morton.

However, a glimmer of hope emerged from his most recent start. Morton worked five scoreless innings on May 8 against the Milwaukee Brewers. He allowed just two hits and got the verdict in a 9-2 Atlanta victory. It was his first win in exactly a month.

His previous four starts saw Morton post a 7.85 ERA and 2.07 WHIP in 18.1 innings of work. He was 0-3 over that span. The Padres belted Morton for nine hits and five earned runs in five innings of a 12-1 Braves loss on April 14.

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In 10 career starts against San Diego, Morton is 6-2 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. He’s checked Padres hitters on a .196 batting average.

Manaea vs Morton

Sean Manaea
Charlie Morton
2-3 Record 2-3
3.75 ERA 5.65
3.56 xERA 5.43
1.11 WHIP 1.64
3.17 SO/W Ratio 1.35

After six seasons with the Oakland A’s, lefty Manaea joined the Padres for the 2022 campaign. He hasn’t endured a losing campaign since his 2016 rookie season in Oakland (7-9).

Through his first three starts for San Diego, Manaea was 2-1 with a 1.42 ERA. In three starts since, he’s 0-2 with a 6.35 ERA. The Padres are 0-3 in those games.

Manaea shows one career start against the Braves. He didn’t get the decision, working 7.1 innings and posting a 2.45 ERA. This will be his first career start at Truist Park.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Braves Batters Batting Average vs Manaea Padres Batters Batting Average vs Morton
Ronald Acuna Jr .000 Sergio Alcantara .000
Ozzie Albies .000 Jorge Alfaro .077
Orlando Arcia .000 Jose Azocar .000
William Contreras .000 Robinson Cano .313
Travis Demeritte .000 Jake Cronenworth 1.000
Adam Duvall .500 Trent Grisham .000
Guillermo Heredia .250 Eric Hosmer .500
Matt Olson .000 Ha-Seong Kim .000
Marcell Ozuna .000 Manny Machado .500
Austin Riley .000 Wil Myers .333
Dansby Swanson .000 Austin Nola .286
Travis d’Arnaud 1.000 Jurickson Profar .333
Luke Voit .200

The Padres have enjoyed some success at the dish when facing Morton. Eric Hosmer is 4-for-8 (.500) with a homer and 3 RBI. Hosmer also has driven in 18 runs in the past 16 games. Manny Machado is 3-for-6 (.500).

Jake Cronenworth is batting 1.000, albeit it’s 1-for-1. Jurickson Profar is 4-for-12 (.333) with a solo homer. Wil Myers (1-for-3) is also batting .333, while Robinson Cano is 5-for-16 (.313) with 2 RBI.

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The Braves show limited at-bats against Manaea. Travis d’Arnaud is 2-for-2 (1.000) with an RBI.

Padres vs Braves Prediction

There’s not much to choose between the two teams in this matchup. In cases like this, it’s always best to take into account the known knowns.

Morton’s stellar last outing and solid career slate against San Diego suggests going with Atlanta in the Padres vs Braves odds.

Pick: Atlanta Braves ML (-135)


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