Saturday, June 25

Padres vs Cubs Odds, Lines & Spread (June 16)

San Diego Padres third baseman Manny Machado and left fielder Jurickson Profar pose after a home run

Jun 15, 2022; Chicago, Illinois, USA; San Diego Padres third baseman Manny Machado (13) and San Diego Padres left fielder Jurickson Profar (10) pose for a photo in the dugout after his two-run home run in the fifth inning against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: Quinn Harris-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Padres are -164 road favorites over the Cubs on Thursday
  • Joe Musgrove (7-0, 1.50) will pitch for the Padres against rookie Matt Swarmer (1-1, 4.24).
  • A look at the odds and matchup can be found below with a pick

The San Diego Padres will try to sweep a four-game road series from the skidding Chicago Cubs at 2:20 p.m. ET Thursday at Wrigley Field.

The Padres (40-24/23-11) made it three in a row over the Cubs on Wednesday night with a 19-5 rout and have won seven of their last nine games and of their last 13. The Cubs (23-39/11-23 road) are on a nine-game losing streak.

Padres vs Cubs Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
San Diego Padres -164 -1.5 (-105) Over 10 (-106)
Chicago Cubs +138 +1.5 (-114) Under 10 (-114)

Odds as of June 15th at FanDuel Sportsbook. See available FanDuel Sportsbook promo codes.

The Padres are -164 favorites for an implied win probability of 62.12%. San Diego’s World Series odds are +1300 while the Cubs are an extreme longshot at +100000.

The weather forecast calls for a hot, sunny and windy day in Wrigleyville with a high temperature of 90 degrees and wind from southwest from 10-15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

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San Diego vs Chicago Probable Pitchers

Joe Musgrove (7-0, 1.50) is scheduled to start for the Padres against rookie Matt Swarmer (1-1, 4.24). Musgrove has moved up to second choice in the National League Cy Young odds at +450 behind the Miami Marlins’ Sandy Alcantara (+350).

Musgrove vs Swarmer

Joe Musgrove
Matt Swarmer
7-0 Record 1-1
1.50 ERA 4.24
2.60 xERA 5.24
0.93 WHIP 1.00
4.50 SO/W 5.00

Musgrove is having a fantastic season and been nearly untouchable lately. He has allowed only one run in 27 innings – for a 0.33 ERA — over his last four starts while compiling a 3-0 record.

The big right-hander pitched six shutout innings to beat the Colorado Rockies last Friday in San Diego. He gave up four hits, struck out eight and walked two.

Musgrove made it look as easy as tic-tac-toe.

Despite his 3-3 career record, Musgrove has pitched well against the Cubs with a 1.97 ERA in eight starts. Musgrove was a tough-luck loser in his only career start at Wrigley Field in 2019 when he surrendered two unearned runs in 6.1 innings.

Musgrove is 4-0 with a 1.58 ERA in six road starts this season. In day games, Musgrove has a 2-0 mark and 1.67 ERA in four starts.

The Cubs’ Yan Gomes is 3 for 8 versus Musgrove with two doubles and one home run.

Swarmer will be making his fourth career start and is coming off his first loss last Friday against the Yankees in New York. He pitched five innings and was tagged for six runs while allowing seven hits, striking out four and walking none.

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That came after Swarmer had back-to-back quality starts.

Swarmer will be facing the Padres for the first time. Both his starts at Wrigley Field have been in the day and he is 1-0 with 1.50 ERA.

Padres vs Cubs Betting Outlook

Manny Machado sparked the Padres’ laugher on Wednesday night by gong 3 for 4 with a two-run home run and four RBIs. He also singled for his 1,500th career hit.

Machado became the 17th player in major league history to amass 1,500 hits and 250 homers before turning 30.

Jurickson Profar, Jake Cronenworth, Luke Voit and Jorge Alfaro also had three hits each. Profar and Cronenweth each had two doubles and Voit hit a homer off first baseman Frank Schwindel.

The Padres have outscored the Cubs 35-11 in the first three games of the series.

Cubs rookie Christopher Morel had a solo home run and three RBIs.

The Cubs placed second baseman Nick Madrigal on the injured list prior to the game with a left groin strain. Jonathan Villar is likely to see most of the action at second while Madrigal is out and went 1 for 4 on Wednesday.

The Padres have won five of six from the Cubs this season after Chicago went 14-6 against San Diego from 2018-21.

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SD vs CHC Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
6/15/22 Cubs Padres SD, 19-5
6/14/22 Cubs Padres SD, 12-5
6/13/22 Cubs Padres SD, 4-1
5/11/22 Padres Cubs CHC, 7-5
5/10/22 Padres Cubs SD, 5-4
5/9/22 Padres Cubs CHC, 6-0
6/9/21 Padres Cubs CHC, 3-1
6/8/21 Padres Cubs CHC, 7-1
6/7/21 Padres Cubs SD, 9-4
6/2/21 Cubs Padres CHC, 6-1

Padres vs Cubs Prediction

Regardless of the odds, riding a pitcher as hot as Musgrove is the play that clearly makes the most sense in this matchup.

Pick: Padres ML (-164)


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