Monday, June 27

Marlins vs Mets Odds, Lines & Spread (June 20)

Miami Marlins right fielder Jerar Encarnacion celebrates a grand slam

Jun 19, 2022; New York City, New York, USA; Miami Marlins right fielder Jerar Encarnacion (64) reacts after hitting a grand slam home run in the seventh inning in his Major League debut against the New York Mets at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Mets are -159 home favorites over the Marlins on Monday
  • Trevor Rogers (3-5, 5.87) will pitch for Miami against fellow lefty David Peterson (3-1, 3.60)
  • A look at the Marlins vs Mets odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

The visiting Miami Marlins will look to split a four-game series with the New York Mets when they meet at 1:10 p.m. ET Monday at Citi Field.

The Marlins (29-35, 14-21 road) ended a three-game losing streak Sunday by beating the Mets 6-2. The National League East-leading Mets (44-24, 23-10 home) had won three in a row and five of six.

Marlins vs Mets Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Miami Marlins +133 +1.5 (-167) Over 8 (-113)
New York Mets -159 -1.5 (+135) Under 8 (-106)

Odds as of June 19th at Barstool Sportsbook. See available Barstool Sportsbook promo codes

As -159 favorites, the Mets have an implied win probability of 61.39% in a game that will be televised by MLB Network. The Mets’ World Series odds are +750 while the Marlins have +20000 odds.

The weather forecast for Flushing Meadows calls for sunny skies, a high of 78 degrees and northwest wind at 10 mph.

Miami vs New York Probable Pitchers

In a matchup of left-handers, Trevor Rogers (3-5, 5.87) is scheduled to start for the Marlins against David Peterson (3-1, 3.60). Rogers will be pitching on five days of rest and Peterson on four.

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Rogers vs Peterson

Trevor Rogers
David Peterson
3-5 Record 3-1
5.87 ERA 3.60
5.17 xERA 4.17
1.64 WHIP 1.33
1.64 SO/W 1.75

Rogers is 1-0 in his last four starts but with a 7.27 ERA as he continues to struggle a year after finishing second in the National League Rookie of the Year voting.

Rogers had a rough outing last Tuesday against the Phillies at Philadelphia. He was tagged for four runs on five hits in 3.2 innings while walking six and striking out two.

He is stylish, though.

In four career starts against the Mets, all at Citi Field, Rogers is 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA. He has a 1-2 record in seven road starts this season and a 4.05 ERA and is 1-1 with a 3.66 ERA in four starts during the day.

Mets star Pete Alonso, who has +1000 NL MVP odds, is 0 for 10 against Rogers in his career.

Peterson took his first loss of the season in his seventh start last Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers at Citi Field. He lasted just four innings and surrendered four runs, six hits and two walks while striking out three.

Peterson won his lone career start against the Marlins in 2020, allowing two runs in five innings.

In four starts at home this season, Peterson has a 1-1 record and 5.50 ERA. He is 1-0 with a 2.89 ERA in two starts in day games.

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Peterson’ wife is due to give birth and the Mets have made undisclosed contingency plans in case she goes into labor.

Marlins vs Mets Betting Outlook

The Marlins’ Jerar Encarnacion had a memorable major league debut Sunday in the win over the Mets. The right fielder hit a grand slam in the seventh inning for his first major league hit to put the Marlins ahead and threw out a runner at third base.

Encarnacion became the first MLB player to hit a grand slam and have an outfield assist in the same game since at least 1901.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Miguel Rojas had two hits each for the Marlins. Starling Marte had a triple among the Mets’ six hits.

The Mets have won two of three games in the first series of the year between NL East rivals and have a 43-27 advantage over the Marlins since the start of the 2018 season.

Marlins vs Mets Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
6/19/22 Mets Marlins MIA, 6-2
6/18/22 Mets Marlins NYM, 3-2
6/17/22 Mets Marlins NYM, 10-4
9/30/21 Mets Marlins NYM, 12-3
9/29/21 Mets Marlins MIA, 3-2
9/28/21 (2) Mets Marlins NYM, 2-1
9/27/21 (1) Mets Marlins NYM, 5-2
9/9/21 Marlins Mets MIA, 3-2
9/8/21 Marlins Mets MIA, 2-1
9/7/21 Marlins Mets NYM, 9-4

Marlins vs Mets Prediction

Rogers has had success against the Mets at Citi Field in his short career. However, this is a better version of the Mets than he has seen in past years.

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Pick: Mets ML (-159) 


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