Monday, June 27

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Odds & Prediction – US Open Cup Quarterfinals

New York City FC

New York City FC players celebrate with the trophy after their penalty kick shootout win over the Portland Timbers in the MLS Cup soccer game, Saturday, Dec. 11, 2021, in Portland, Ore. (AP Photo/Amanda Loman)
  • It’s New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC on Wednesday, June 22 in the quarterfinal of the US Open Cup
  • The Hudson Derby sees NYC’s two biggest soccer clubs vying for a place in the semifinals
  • We preview the game, look at New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC odds, and offer some picks below

It is New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC in the quarterfinal of the US Open Cup on June 22 at 10:00 pm ET at the Red Bull Arena. Due to the covid pandemic, this is the first time this tournament – the biggest and oldest cup competition in US soccer – has been held since 2019.

The quarterfinal line-up includes six teams from the MLS plus Sacramento, who play their soccer in the US’s second tier, the USL Championship, and Union Omaha from the third-tier, USL League One.

We preview New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC, the Hudson Derby, and offer below some analysis, team news, and picks for this huge Open Cup quarterfinal.

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Odds

Matchup Moneyline
New York Red Bulls +150
New York City FC +175
Draw +240

Odds as of June  22 at Caesars Sportsbook.

The bookmakers expect this to be a close game. Only 25 Moneyline points separate the pair, with Red Bulls slight favorites at +150 for the win, with an implied probability of 40%, and NYCFC at +175 with an implied win probability of 36.36%.

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The draw after 90 minutes offers a better return at +240 with an implied probability of 29.41% but generally, the odds reflect just how well-matched these two teams are.

Over/Under and Spread

Caesars have pitched ‘first-half over 1.5 goals’ at +180, and under 1.5 at -240; the value being with over given that it’s a cup game and both teams will be going all out for the win.

If you’re new to betting on soccer and want to know about Asian Handicaps and Pointspreads, then our page offers help on how to bet on this game and games.

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC

This is a clash of the titans in every way, particularly as these two are currently first and second in the Eastern Conference of the MLS. As things stand, it’s NYCFC who lead the conference by a single point, albeit Red Bulls have played two games more. But it’s clear these two are very well-matched, even to the extent of both having scored 26 goals so far in the MLS.

The Red Bulls’ 7-5-4 record has set them up perfectly for a charge to the post-season playoffs but this week their attention will turn to the US Open Cup – a competition they have never won. The closest they came was in 2017 when they were beaten by Sporting Kansas City in the final.

Comfortable Route to Quarters for Red Bulls

The Red Bulls have played three games in order to reach the quarterfinals, starting with a third-round 2-1 win away at Harford Athletic of the USL Championship. In the Round of 32, they made light work of DC United – winning the game 3-0 – and in the Round of 16, they comfortably beat Charlotte FC 3-1 at home.

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Head-to-Head Stats

Playoffs Already in Sight for NYCFC

NYCFC have been on fire this season and have put themselves among the favorites to lift the MLS Cup in November, with only LAFC more fancied right now. Their 8-3-3 record means they are already only about five more wins away from earning themselves a place in the post-season playoffs.

After having won the MLS Cup for the first time last season, NYCFC will fancy their chances of doing so again and if they can also claim the US Open Cup, they will be one of only nine teams to do ‘the double’ in the history of US soccer.

NYCFC Set for Double?

As NYCFC didn’t enter the Cup until the Round of 32 – based on their MLS record of 2021 – they have only had to win two games to reach the quarterfinal. First up, they faced Rochester New York FC and beat them comfortably 3-1, and then in the Round of 16 they needed extra time and a goal from Santiago Rodriguez to beat New England Revolution 1-0.

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Team Lineups and Injuries

New York Red Bulls Projected Lineup: Carlos, Edwards, Nealis (S), Long, Nealis (D), Amaya, Casseres, Tolkin, Luquinhas, Morgan, Mosso.

New York Red Bulls Injuries: Reyes, Monzon.

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New York City FC Projected Lineup: Johnson, Gray, Martins, Callins, Amundsen, Acevedo, Morales, Rodriguez, Moralez, T.M, Castellanos.

New York City FC Injuries: None.

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Pick

Red Bulls start as narrow favorites but there is little to choose between these two, with only home advantage giving them the edge in the bookies’ eyes.

For me, with NYCFC in brilliant form and with their odds slightly longer, they represent the value, although expect any victory to be just by the odd goal.

Pick: NYCFC to win (+175) / NYCFC to win 2-1 (+900)

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