As we enter the divisional round, the number of games on the slate continues to shrink, but daily fantasy football players still have a bevy of tournaments in which to compete. To help navigate through the second round of the playoffs, we’ve put together our favorite full-slate FanDuel lineup in an attempt to lead you to some NFL DFS cash when it’s all said and done.
We’re rolling with a Chiefs-heavy build, thinking that the league’s most efficient offense doesn’t skip a beat against the Jaguars. We’ve also rostered two high-volume RBs and two undervalued sleeper WRs who could outperform their price tag.
Before we break down all of our picks and strategy, here are the most notable scoring rules for FanDuel contests: four-point passing TDs and half-point PPR.
Divisional Round FanDuel Picks: NFL DFS lineup for Playoff GPP tournaments
Sat-Sun Late Swap, $60,000 budget
QB Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs vs. Jaguars ($9,200). While he’ll likely be rostered at a high clip, we can’t find a viable reason to fade Mahomes this week. He’s almost a shoo-in for 300-plus passing yards and multiple TDs against a Jaguars defense that’s allowed the 24th-highest drop-back EPA since Week 9 (0.078). Mahomes’ running ability is a bonus, as he’s always capable of adding three-to-four extra points with his legs.
RB Saquon Barkley, Giants @ Eagles ($8,500). Barkley draws a tough matchup against an improved Eagles run defense, but his reliable volume is too enticing to fade this week. Barkley’s logged the third-best opportunity share (percentage of a team’s running back carries plus targets) among RBs this season (80.1 percent) and is always a threat to post 20-plus FD points. Barkley only logged nine rushing attempts last week despite the Giants playing with a lead for the majority of the contest, but he did plenty of damage as a receiver (five receptions, 56 yards). Two of his nine rushing attempts did result in TDs, though, as he’s still dangerous in the red zone (38 red-zone touches). Even if he doesn’t have a big rushing day, he’ll still be a factor through the air and in the red zone, warranting a roster spot.
RB Travis Etienne Jr., Jaguars @ Chiefs ($6,800). Etienne’s another RB whose volume makes up for a tougher matchup. While Kansas City ranks eighth against the rush, Etienne still has the upside to see 20-plus touches, giving him a chance to put up at least 15 FD points. We’re hoping Etienne’s able to reach paydirt at least once in a game with the highest implied over/under of the weekend (53 points). Etienne is the Jaguars’ go-to red-zone back seeing the ninth most red-zone touches among RBs this season (45). He hasn’t been used much in the receiving game, but Saturday could be a breakout opportunity for him if the Jags fall behind early.
WR Gabriel Davis, Bills vs. Bengals ($6,600). Davis had an up-and-down regular season but showed out last week, racking up 113 receiving yards on six receptions and a TD. Davis has a shot to post a second-consecutive 100-yard receiving, one-TD performance against a Bengals defense that just allowed the Ravens to post an 0.27 EPA/pass on early downs (73rd percentile). Against a much more potent Bills offense, the Bengals’ defense could be in serious trouble. Davis’ 15.6 aDOT (sixth among WRs) always makes him a high-upside start, as it only takes one long reception for him to come through for DFS players.
WR Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers vs. Cowboys ($6,500). Aiyuk feels a bit undervalued at $6,500, as he has a good chance to lead the 49ers in receiving this week in a plus matchup against a Cowboys’ defense that allowed the fifth-most FD points to WRs this season. Aiyuk logged 73 receiving yards on just three receptions last week and came close to scoring two TDs. Aiyuk’s elite at gaining separation on defensive backs, sporting the third-highest target separation (2.31) among WRs. A 70-plus receiving yard performance that also yields a TD reception is very possible.
WR Marvin Jones Jr., Jaguars @ Chiefs ($5,300). Jones is a pure upside play, as the veteran is coming off a six-target effort in last week’s come-from-behind win over Los Angeles. He has a real shot to see another five-plus targets in a game where the Jaguars will likely be forced to pass a lot. While Jones is only averaging 6.14 FD points/game, a plus matchup against a Chiefs defense ranking 24th against WRs gives Jones a chance to exceed his season averages.
TE Travis Kelce, Chiefs vs. Jaguars ($8,000). Since we’re spending up to roster Mahomes, we might as well spend up to roster Kelce. We’re hoping the duo gashes the Jaguars’ defense like they did back in Week 10 when Kelce put up 17.1 FD points (six receptions, 81 yards, TD) in the Chiefs’ 27-17 win. Kelce’s red-zone prowess always makes him an attractive DFS play, leading all players with 29 red-zone targets. We’ll honestly be upset if he doesn’t have at least 100 receiving yards and a TD, as his bar’s excessively high.
FLEX Cole Beasley, Bills vs. Bengals ($4,100). We’ll buy low on Beasley, as he logged a respectable 42-percent snap share last week against the Dolphins, resulting in two receptions for 35 yards and a TD on five targets. Beasley’s proved he’s a trusted option of Josh Allen’s, and a multi-reception game is well within reach. The Bills’ offense figures to move the ball at will, giving Beasley a decent shot to score a TD in consecutive weeks.
DEF Buffalo Bills vs. Bengals ($4,100). Buffalo’s D/ST might not be rostered at a high clip with DFS players spending up to start the Eagles, 49ers, and Chiefs, giving us some differentiation at a position with a good deal of variance. Buffalo’s pass rush could have its way against a beaten and battered Bengals’ offensive line, so a four-sack day with a turnover or two is attainable.