Next Premier League manager to leave: Updated odds for 2022/23 as Pep Guardiola jumps to third favourite

Five of the 20 managers who started the season in the 2022/23 Premier League had been sacked by the end of the calendar year.

Scott Parker became the first managerial casualty of the campaign when the ex-England international left Bournemouth on August 30, followed by Chelsea casting Thomas Tuchel out in early September, with the Blues firing the man that won them a UEFA Champions League title just 15 months earlier. 

Bruno Lage was next out of the door after Wolves dropped into the bottom three with a limp 2-0 defeat at West Ham on October 1, preceding Steven Gerrard suffering the axe a swift 75 minutes after a 3-0 defeat to Fulham at Craven Cottage on October 20 that left Villa teetering above the relegation zone.

Ralph Hasenhuttl saw his time at Southampton come to an end following their 4-1 home defeat to Newcastle United on November 6. Saints had won just two of their past 11 league matches and were sitting two points off the bottom of the table when Hasenhuttl’s departure was announced.

Frank Lampard is the latest boss sent packing with Everton in a horrible run of form. The former England midfielder was let go on January 23 with the club sitting 19th in the Premier League with just 15 points from 20 matches.

You know the next one to go is not too far behind. Here’s the list of managers who could be on the chopping block. 

MORE: Will Tottenham sack Antonio Conte? Spurs manager timeline, betting odds to leave

Next Premier League manager to leave odds

Betting has resumed after the dismissal of Frank Lampard at Everton on January 23.

Following that latest move, David Moyes at West Ham is now the heavy favorite to see the axe as the Hammers are battling relegation. Leeds United are also near the bottom and that has Jesse Marsch as a distant second.

Also in that mix are Gary O’Neil of Bournemouth and Antonio Conte of Tottenham, both for very different reasons. O’Neil oversaw a brief revival as the Cherries responded to his appointment, but they are back in the bottom three and still fighting for their lives. Conte, meanwhile, has struggle to get Spurs playing the way he wants, and a fading from the table’s top four could foreshadow a departure, either now or the end of the season depending on imminent results.

However, the big change is that Pep Guardiola jumped to third favourite following the news that Manchester City are facing allegations that they broke Premier League financial rules. Guardiola previously claimed he would resign if it emerged City bosses lied to him over the club’s conduct. City have insisted there is a “comprehensive body of irrefutable evidence” supporting their argument that they did not break any rules.

Odds as of February 6, 2023.

Manager Club Odds
(Sky Bet — UK)
Nathan Jones Southampton 4/9
Jesse Marsch Leeds United 5/1
Pep Guardiola Manchester City  13/2
Gary O’Neil Bournemouth 16/1
Jurgen Klopp Liverpool 20/1
David Moyes West Ham 20/1
Graham Potter Chelsea 20/1
Brendan Rodgers Leicester City 25/1
Antonio Conte Tottenham 40/1
Patrick Vieira Crystal Palace 50/1

First manager sacked in each Premier League season

The first manager sacked in Premier League history was Ian Porterfield of Chelsea, who lasted a whopping 29 matches before seeing the axe in mid-February.

The fastest manager ever sacked in the Premier League was Kenny Dalglish, who was ousted at Newcastle United after just two matches into the 1998/99 season. Peter Reid, Bobby Robson, Frank de Boer, and Javi Gracia were all given the boot after just four matches.

Tottenham are the club that appears on this list the most, having been the first to part ways with their manager in four seasons. Newcastle appear three times, as do Chelsea and Sunderland.

Scott Parker’s exit in 2022/23 came extremely early: On average, the first Premier League manager is sacked after 10.8 games, which would entail a mid-October timing during the 2022/23 season. Matchweek 10 is scheduled for October 8-10, while Matchweek 11 is set for October 14-16.

Season Manager Club Date Premier League
matches played
1992/93 Ian Porterfield Chelsea Feb. 15, 1993 29
1993/94 Peter Reid Man City Aug. 25, 1993 4
1994/95 Osvaldo Ardiles* Tottenham Nov. 1, 1994 12
1995/96 Roy McFarland Bolton Jan. 3, 1996 22
1996/97 Howard Wilkinson Leeds United Sept. 9, 1996 5
1997/98 David Pleat Sheffield Wed Nov. 3, 1997 13
1998/99 Kenny Dalglish Newcastle Aug. 27, 1998 2
1999/00 Danny Wilson Sheffield Wed Mar. 21, 2000 29
2000/01 Gianluca Vialli Chelsea Sept. 12, 2000 5
2001/02 Peter Taylor Leicester City Sept. 30, 2001 8
2002/03 Peter Reid Sunderland Oct. 7, 2002 9
2003/04 Glenn Hoddle Tottenham Sept. 22, 2003 6
2004/05 Bobby Robson Newcastle Aug. 30, 2004 4
2005/06 Alain Perrin Portsmouth Nov. 24, 2005 13
2006/07 Iain Dowie Charlton Athletic Nov. 13, 2006 12
2007/08 Martin Jol Tottenham Oct. 25, 2007 10
2008/09 Juande Ramos Tottenham Oct. 25, 2008 8
2009/10 Paul Hart Portsmouth Nov. 24, 2009 13
2010/11 Chris Hughton Newcastle Dec. 6, 2010 16
2011/12 Steve Bruce Sunderland Nov. 30, 2011 13
2012/13 Roberto Di Matteo Chelsea Nov. 21, 2012 12
2013/14 Paolo Di Canio Sunderland Sept. 23, 2013 5
2014/15 Neil Warnock Crystal Palace Dec. 27, 2014 18
2015/16 Brendan Rodgers Liverpool Oct. 4, 2015 8
2016/17 Francesco Guidolin Swansea City Oct. 3, 2016 7
2017/18 Frank De Boer Crystal Palace Sept. 11, 2017 4
2018/19 Slavisa Jokanovic Fulham Nov. 14, 2018 12
2019/20 Javi Gracia Watford Sept. 7, 2019 4
2020/21 Slaven Bilic West Brom Dec. 16, 2020 13
2021/22 Xisco Munoz Watford Oct. 3, 2021 7
2022/23 Scott Parker Bournemouth August 30, 2022 4

*In 1994/95, West Ham manager Billy Bonds resigned before the official start of the season

Betting on first manager sacked or next manager

When betting on the first manager sacked in a Premier League season, it’s important to pay close attention to the title of the bet.

Sometimes, managers can depart of their own accord, or by “mutual consent,” leading to some questions around what constitutes being “sacked.”

Officially, the bet is often titled “Next Premier League Manager to Leave their Club” which eliminates much of the confusion around what constitutes being fired, released, let go, or departing by mutual consent. For example, Pep Guardiola is highly unlikely to be sacked by Man City any time soon, but bookmakers think it’s conceivable he could leave amid the investigation into the club’s finances.

Additionally, when placing bets involving “Next Manager” for a club, the word “Permanent” is often included, meaning interim managers are not given consideration for a winning bet. Thus, if a manager is given an “interim” tag as a replacement, the bet remains open until the “interim” tag is removed or a new permanent boss is hired from elsewhere.

Premier League 2022/23 TV channels, live streams

  UK USA Canada Australia
TV channel Sky Sports, BT Sport USA Network, Telemundo, Universo
Streaming NOW TV, Sky Go, Amazon Prime fuboTV, Peacock fuboTV Optus Sport

UK: Matches are carried across Sky Sports and BT Sport streaming and TV platforms, with select matches on Amazon Prime.

USA: Select matches are televised on USA Network (English) and Telemundo or Universo (Spanish), and all three channels can be streamed on fuboTV. The rest of the matches are streamed on NBC platform Peacock for subscribers.

Canada: Every Premier League game streams live and on demand exclusively via fuboTV.

Australia: Fans in Australia can stream matches live and on demand on Optus Sport


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