The Super Bowl halftime show has become one of the most highly anticipated and buzz-worthy entertainment events of each year, and this one will be no different with pop icon Rihanna returning to music to grace the stage at State Farm Stadium. Let’s will delve into the Super Bowl 57 halftime show betting props, analyze the odds, and offer our picks and predictions for each one.
Apparently there’s gonna be a football game at the Rihanna concert.
— Alexus (@x_Annette_) September 27, 2022
Betting prop questions for halftime shows tend to look the same each year, like which song will open the performance, how many songs will be played in total, and what color outfit the performer will wear to open the show.
But this year’s show with Queen RiRi seems vastly different from last year’s West Coast superjam featuring Dr. Dre, Eminem, Snoop Dogg, 50 Cent, Kendrick Lamar, and Mary J. Blige. For starters, we know who will open the show — Rihanna might be the only performer the entire halftime set, much like The Weeknd a couple of years ago when he got lost in a maze of mirrors.
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Because there aren’t any confirmed spoilers (yet), we don’t have much to go on other than the official halftime show trailer. As such, we’ll have to make educated guesses, but with an established 17-year veteran of the pop music industry like Rihanna, we have plenty of material on which to base our predictions.
Here’s the run-down of Super Bowl 57 halftime show props, and which way we would lean for each one. Good luck and enjoy the show!
Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction and Odds Shark.
Super Bowl halftime show prop bets 2023
What will be Rihanna’s first song performed during the halftime show? (SIA)
|Don’t Stop the Music||+245|
|We Found Love||+350|
|Lift Me Up||+430|
|Where Have You Been||+505|
|Hate That I Love You||+1000|
|Cheers (Drink to That)||+1000|
|Live Your Life||+1400|
|B*tch Better Have My Money||+1500|
Rihanna has released 53 singles throughout her illustrious career, as well as 17 songs as a featured artist. Nine of those topped the Billboard Top 40, and an incredible 25 of those have peaked at No. 4 or better. So, it’s easy to see why the options for ‘first song’ are so plentiful. It’s typically pretty rare to have six songs at +505 or shorter in this prop category, never mind a whopping 10 at +1000 or less.
Emerging as the favorite, “Diamonds” has a slower-paced, bass-thumping cadence that highlights Ri’s tremendous singing voice and introspective lyrics. But faster-tempo songs like “Don’t Stop the Music” and the Calvin Harris mega-hit “We Found Love” have kicked off halftime shows in the past. And nobody would be surprised if she starts the show with her first and still most-famous hit “Umbrella,” which always rocks the house and provides the opportunity for a massive cameo by her mentor, Jay-Z, who has also served as one of the producers of the Halftime Show since 2019.
We’re going with a semi-sleeper and betting “Lift Me Up,” with the belief that Rihanna will start slow and sing something with strong emotional significance in honor of Black History Month. A native of Barbados, Rihanna has embraced her role as a powerful voice for African-Americans, diversity, and inclusivity. She once told the New York Times: “In my own household, my father is half-black, half-white. My mom is black from South America. I was seeing diversity. That’s all I knew.”
“Lift Me Up” was written as a tribute to the late, great actor Chadwick Boseman as part of the soundtrack to Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, but many lyrics within the song also seem to parallel the continual struggle of being black in America, like “drowning in an endless sea,” “burning in a hopeless dream,” and the hauntingly beautiful last words pleading “lift me up, hold me down, keep me safe…we need light, we need love.” This song would immediately give the audience goosebumps. If it’s not the opening song, it might be the closer.
What will be Rihanna’s last song performed during the halftime show? (SIA)
|Run This Town||+350|
|Don’t Stop The Music||+550|
|We Found Love||+700|
|B*tch Better Have My Money||+1000|
|Take A Bow||+1200|
|Shut Up And Drive||+1400|
|This Is What You Came For||+1400|
|Pon de Replay||+1400|
As we are going with “Life Me Up” for the first song, “Umbrella” is our obvious favorite for last song. It’s her most popular song and it still bangs to this day, and it will strike a powerful chord with the audience to seal the deal as an unforgettable performance. Plus, it gives her a chance to share the stage with Jay-Z, one of the most popular recording artists in the U.S. and her musical mentor who helped her break into the biz.
Other strong bets for the performance finale include “Diamonds,” which many believe will be the opener, and “Run This Town” featuring Jay-Z and Kanye West. But we don’t expect to see Kanye anywhere near the Super Bowl after the PR disaster he’s encountered over the past few years. Maybe “Run This Town” will just feature Ri and Jay, but it would be surprising to see a Rihanna set close with her singing another artist’s chorus. A better option might be “Take a Bow,” taking it back to 2008 when Ri began her career and closing with an appropriate bow to her audience of 100 million.
How many songs will be played during the halftime show? (Odds Shark)
Last year’s superstar rap and R&B medley headlined by Dre, Snoop, and Eminem featured a whopping 10 songs, some of which included only one verse. Hell, we only got Em’s speedy, tongue-twisting chorus from “Forgot About Dre” despite that being one of Dre and Em’s most popular songs. It’s tough to fit 10 songs into a performance under 15 minutes, but the good Dr. found a way. The Weeknd in Super Bowl 55 might be a better one to check out before betting this over/under, as he was the last solo performer to grace the halftime stage. He ultimately performed nine songs, a number we expect Rihanna to stick to this year.
Lady Gaga played just seven songs in ’17, though there were also three pre-recorded songs as she entered the stage. It’s unclear if those count toward the official over/under — you may want to check with your sportsbook about the fine print before making any novelty prop investments. We’re operating under the assumption that songs Rihanna and any guests sing — not pre-recorded lead-ins and interludes — will count toward the total, and we have a hard time envisioning RiRi going into the double-digits while riding solo.
All told, during the past 12 Super Bowl halftime shows, artists have averaged 8.99 songs, not counting pre-recorded excerpts. That number is obviously skewed high by 2020’s dual-performance of Jennifer Lopez and Shakira (they hit a whopping 15 total songs), but the trend is still with the UNDER of 9.5. And with most of Rihanna’s songs bangers from start to finish, we expect she’ll opt to sing more verses within the songs than one or two individual verses from 10-plus songs.
Of course, the fate of this prop could be affected by any star cameos. If Jay-Z, Justin Bieber, Drake, or Mikky Eko join Ri on stage, the UNDER could conceivably be even more of a lock thanks to the collaborating artists’ verses taking up more of the time allotment of 12-15 minutes. Either way, we’re betting the UNDER and enjoying the fact that we’re paying less of a vig than the OVER crowd.
What color will Rihanna’s first outfit be? (Odds Shark)
It was only a matter of time before we went with some chalk, and choosing “Black” here seems like the best bet of the entire halftime show prop list. Rihanna tends to favor dark outfits in general, and she has gone on record in the past to say that from a young age, she always wanted to be darker. The fashion icon and designer looks stunning in black — it matches her jet-black hair, accentuates her gorgeous green eyes, and helps colorful fashion accessories stand out. She’s even wearing black in the Apple Music Halftime Show trailer, with a fuzzy, canary-yellow AREA coat draped over her.
Digging even further, Ri’s Instagram countdown leading up to the event showed her wearing a black NFL-inspired hoodie by her label Fenty. And a quick Google Images search of “Rihanna fashion” tells us all we need to know about black being the odds-on favorite for her outfit color. Again, check the fine print — but if a black base counts as a black outfit, we’re smashing the chalk on this one.
What will be the color of Rihanna’s hair? (Odds Shark)
If you can get even find odds for this one, black is the overwhelming favorite. Rihanna has predominantly stuck to her natural black hair over the past few years, as evidenced by countless videos, paparazzi shots, and social media posts. She’s a mom now and seems to be much more conventional than earlier in her career. Plus, black hair is beautiful, she tends to wear a lot of dark outfits, and it’s Black History Month. This one’s easy to bet but not easy to find.
Specials: Guest appearances during halftime show (SIA)
The two bets worth the most consideration in this list of potential guest appearances are Jay-Z and Drake. Jay-Z helped launch Rihanna’s career and collaborated with her on her breakout hit “Umbrella,” which will almost assuredly be a part of the halftime show. Drake, meanwhile, has collaborated with Ri more than any other artist has during her 17-year career, and he has little to no negative publicity around him to affect the public’s perception of the show.
Calvin Harris produced two of Rihanna’s 10 most popular songs, “This is What You Came For” and “We Found Love,” but DJ appearances during Super Bowl halftime shows have been rare. DJ Khaled, however, makes his way into basically everything, so he’s a good sleeper bet here at +200. Eminem at +275 also seems like a good value, as he collaborated with Ri on “Love the Way You Lie,” which became the third-most popular Rihanna song on the Billboard charts. It would mark Em’s second halftime show in as many years, as he was a featured artist in the Dr. Dre halftime show for Super Bowl 56.
A$AP Rocky, RiRi’s partner and the father of her son, will probably not take the stage with Ri, as they tend to keep their professional and private lives separate. We have yet to see them perform or record together, and it would be a massive surprise to see that suddenly change during the biggest performance of her life.
Another long shot is Kanye West, who we mentioned earlier has significantly damaged his public perception over the past few years. He’s a featured artist in multiple Rihanna songs, including FourFiveSeconds with Paul McCartney on guitar. It’s quite possible Ri just edits out Kanye’s part and Sir Paul takes the stage with her, which would certainly be a nice surprise for the 35-and-older demographic.
Miscellaneous ‘special’ halftime show novelty props (Odds Shark)
|A$AP Rocky To Appear On Stage||+300|
|Rihanna To Suffer A Wardrobe Malfunction||+500|
|Rihanna To Confirm Her Lyrics Were Censored||-105|
|Rihanna To Propose Marriage To A$AP Rocky||+2500|
|Rihanna To Announce That She Is Pregnant||+800|
|Rihanna To Announce Her Son’s Name||+800|
|Rihanna To Trip And Fall Over||+1600|
|Rihanna To Open An Umbrella||+275|
|Rihanna to Wear A Bucket Hat||+700|
Now we’re getting really out there! As a conservative bettor, I would tend to stay away from most of these bizarre exotic specials, even if the plus odds might seem appealing on some of them. As we mentioned, Rihanna and her man A$AP Rocky have kept a very low public profile. They have been very private regarding their son, neglecting to even share the baby boy’s name publicly. It would be a huge surprise if they shared the biggest stage in the world and suddenly announced their son’s name in front of 100 million people.
A dark horse prop to consider is the ‘open an umbrella’ prop — it seems almost too easy to choreograph an umbrella into the umbrella song, almost like Adam Levine going shirtless for a Maroon 5 performance. But hey, betting on predictability tends to pay off in the long run.
Specials: Rihanna announces a tour during her performance (SIA)
|Confirms upcoming tour during halftime show||Yes +240|
This one is a very specific one, and only gives us the option for “yes” with plus odds, as it seems like a relative long shot.
Sure, Beyonce just announced a tour and put hundred of millions of fans into a frenzy to get tickets ahead of the Grammys, and Rihanna announcing a tour during one of the biggest performances in the music would certainly have a similar effect on prospective concertgoers.
However, this seems like something she would do on Instagram, the same way she announced she would be doing the Super Bowl and the same way Beyonce announced her upcoming tour. Betting a ‘yes’ here would be a bad investment, as the ‘no’ would likely be in the -500 to -1000 range. Stick with the better, more value-yielding bets we highlighted earlier.
Good luck and let’s have some fun!