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Real Madrid vs Al Hilal prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Club World Cup final

Real Madrid hope to increase their record FIFA Club World Cup trophy count by one more as they take on Al Hilal of Saudi Arabia in the competition’s final on Saturday.

Los Blancos have won four Club World Cup titles, more than any other team, and could add another by emerging victorious in this match. It won’t be easy, however, as there are significant injury worries for the Spanish side, and they were tested by Al Ahly in the semifinals before pulling away late.

Madrid have fallen eight points back of Barcelona in the La Liga title race after a couple of slips in domestic play, and could desperately use a win in this match to reverse their form and send them back to Spain with new life.

Al Hilal reached this stage by shocking South American champions Flamengo 3-2 while playing a man up for half the match. They have never played Real Madrid in their history, and they could get a crack at becoming the first team outside of Europe or Brazil to ever win the Club World Cup title.

MORE: How to watch Real Madrid vs Al Hilal in Club World Cup final

Club World Cup final odds for Real Madrid vs Al Hilal

Despite their injuries, Real Madrid are enormous favorites to lift the trophy in this match, at lower than 1/4 odds on the moneyline to win within the 90 minutes of regulation.

Additionally, the books believe that there will be a huge amount of goals in this match, as the over 2.5 goals total is a massive favorite. It’s believed that could be helped by Al Hilal, as they are given a decent chance to score against a recently leaky Madrid back line.

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Odds via Caesars (USA), Sports Interaction (Canada), SkyBet (UK), and Neds (Australia).

  Caesars Sports
SkyBet Neds
Real Madrid win -410 -385 2/9 1.22
Draw +490 +460 19/4 5.25
Al Hilal win +1000 +820 19/2 11.00
Both teams
to score Y / N
-105 / -125 -118 / -132 10/11, 4/5 1.95 / 1.80
Over / Under
2.5 goals
-190 / +150 -204 / +150 1/2, 6/4 1.50 / 2.45
Real Madrid -1.5 -135 -132
Al Hilal +1.5 +105 +103

Club World Cup final: 3 things to know

Real Madrid vs Al Hilal match facts

  • Date: Saturday, February 11
  • Kickoff Time: 2:00 pm ET / 7:00 pm GMT / 6:00 am AEDT (Sun, Feb. 12)
  • Location: Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium (Rabat, Morocco)
  • Official: Anthony Taylor (UK)

Real Madrid vs Al Hilal team news

Two players definitely missing for Real Madrid are Karim Benzema and Thibaut Courtois who didn’t make the trip to Morocco due to injuries. Also left behind were Ferland Mendy, Lucas VazquezEden Hazard, and Eder Militao as the injured list piles up. Eduardo Camavinga has been playing left-back in Mendy’s absence, and he’ll likely continue there as Dani Carvajal will be needed on the right after Nacho Fernandez left the squad to attend to the birth of his baby.

The only notable injury for Al Hilal is to veteran Saudi Arabia left-back Yasser Al-Shahrani who is out with a fractured jaw. Former Manchester United striker Odion Ighalo should start up front at the central striker position as he did against Flamengo, while Salem Al-Dawsari has carried over his exceptional World Cup form back to the club level and will likely slot into midfield again.

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Real Madrid vs Al Hilal key stats

  • Sergio Arribas’s goal for Real Madrid against Al Ahly in the semifinal came just 28 seconds after entering the field, the fastest substitute to score at the Club World Cup since at least 2010.
  • Since the start of 2021, Salem Al-Dawsari of Al Hilal has scored 13 penalties for club and country, while only missing two, an 87 percent success rate. He made both attempts from the spot against Flamengo in the semifinals, while one of his misses came against Poland goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny at the 2022 World Cup.
  • Real Madrid midfielder Toni Kroos has won five FIFA Club World Cup titles, which is more than any individual club in the history of the competition. Real Madrid have the most titles of any club with four.

Real Madrid vs Al Hilal prediction

  • Moneyline lean: Real Madrid (-410)
  • Against the spread lean: Real Madrid -1.5 (-135)
  • Score prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Al Hilal

While Al Hilal have been impressive in spurts and engineered an upset in the semifinals, they have also been the beneficiary of some luck and poor opposition play. Against Wydad Casablanca in the quarterfinals, they were hemmed in by the hosts for much of the game until earning a lucky penalty in the 90th minute followed by a daft red card for Wydad to send them into extra-time and the ensuing shootout a man up.

Then against Flamengo, it was the Brazilian club’s turn to hand Al Hilal a big chance after Gerson was sent off just before halftime. Al Hilal bagged two of their three goals in this match from the penalty spot, and still coughed one up while holding a man advantage.

Having scored three of their four goals in this tournament from the spot, it’s hard to see Al Hilal pushing Real Madrid to the brink as long as Los Blancos keep their wits about them.

Real Madrid vs Al Hilal: Best bet

  • Pick: Half with most goals — 2H
  • Odds: -104 (Caesars)

Real Madrid have taken ages to get going in recent matches across all competitions, and that’s even more true in the absence of Karim Benzema. Since the restart following the World Cup break, Real Madrid have scored just three first-half goals compared to 17 in the second half, an astronomical total.

Of those three first-half goals, two were scored by Benzema, and one of them came from the penalty spot. Real Madrid will pull away late like they did against Al Ahly, but expect the Saudi Arabian side to push them defensively in the first half before fading after the break.

Real Madrid vs. Al Hilal flier bet

  • Pick: Salem Al-Dawsari anytime goalscorer
  • Odds: +500 (Caesars)

Al Hilal’s penalty taker will have plenty of joy down the left flank, combining well with Argentine forward Luciano Vietto on the wing. He’s excellent on the counter-attack and is a machine in the final third. Most critically, however, is that he could benefit from any mistakes made at the back by Real Madrid, as any penalties conceded by Los Blancos, potentially by fill-in left-back Eduardo Camavinga, will be Al-Dawsari’s to deposit from the spot.

Real Madrid vs Al Hilal live stream, TV channel

The match will be available to watch in the United States on FOX Sports 2, which is streamable on fuboTV. It will also be streamed on FOX’s family of online options, including the FOX Sports Go app and

In Australia, SBS is the broadcaster for the Club World Cup, with streaming via SBS On Demand. In New Zealand, beIN Sports has the rights to the tournament.

For most other territories across the globe, the match can be streamed via FIFA+, which is FIFA’s official streaming service.

MORE: Watch Premier League matches live with fuboTV in USA | Watch PL in Canada

  TV channel Streaming
USA FOX Sports 2 fuboTV, FOX Sports Go
Australia SBS SBS On Demand
Canada  — FIFA+
India  — FIFA+
New Zealand Sky Sports 7 beIN Sports beIN Sports Connect
Malaysia  — FIFA+
Singapore  — FIFA+
Hong Kong  — FIFA+


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