Arsenal sit three points clear at the top of the Premier League table as they approach the final 17 games of their top-flight schedule but Manchester City have edged ahead of them as the most likely team to win the title this season, according to predictors.
The Gunners have dropped only 12 points in league play so far and, despite losing to Everton and drawing at home to Brentford, they remain first with two potentially decisive games against Manchester City coming up, with the reigning champions knowing they can overtake them with victory at Emirates Stadium on February 15.
Manchester City remain second, with two revitalised clubs this season, Manchester United and Newcastle United, not far behind.
The Sporting News brings you a full look at the most recent Premier League title odds as the Gunners hope to secure their first top-flight crown since The Invincibles back in 2004.
MORE: How many times have Arsenal been English champions?
Arsenal odds to win Premier League 2022/23
City are slight favourites to win the Premier League and are now odds-on with bookmakers.
Manchester United are considered the next most realistic to win it after the top two.
United’s odds fell considerably after defeat to Arsenal on January 22, dipping from 20/1 to 33/1, but their charge regained steam after Arsenal’s defeat to Everton, jumping back up to around 14/1 at the time.
A Newcastle title bid this season is not given much credence based on the odds, while Liverpool, Tottenham and Chelsea are all deemed long shots at this point.
Odds as of February 11, 2023 except BetMGM, which reflects prices after City beat Villa on February 12.
| Club | USA (BetMGM) |
Canada (Sports Interaction) |
UK (Sky Bet) |
Australia (Neds) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | +110 | 1.47 | 10/11 | 1.83 |
| Man City | -110 | 1.54 | 11/10 | 2.20 |
| Man United | +1400 | 7.59 | 16/1 | 15.00 |
| Newcastle | +10000 | 55.00 | 150/1 | 101.00 |
| Tottenham | +30000 | 194.00 | 750/1 | 301.00 |
| Liverpool | +50000 | 59.00 | 750/1 | 501.00 |
| Chelsea | +50000 | 82.00 | N/A | 501.00 |
Arsenal Premier League fixtures schedule 2023
City are breathing down Arsenal’s neck after winning a rescheduled match against Spurs in mid-January, but the Gunners have a game in hand (against Everton, for which a date has not been set).
Arsenal’s surprising defeat at Goodison Park went unpunished after Man City also fell to Tottenham the following day.
| Matchday | Date | Match | Result | Arsenal Table Position |
Points Gap |
Title Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Tue, Jan. 3 | vs. Newcastle | D / 0-0 | 1st | 8* | 49% |
| 19 | Sun, Jan. 15 | at Tottenham | W / 2-0 | 1st | 8* | 57% |
| 20 | Sun, Jan. 22 | vs Man United | W / 3-2 | 1st | 5* | 63% |
| 21 | Sat, Feb. 4 | at Everton | L / 1-0 | 1st | 5* | 58% |
| 22 | Sat, Feb. 11 | vs Brentford | D / 1-1 | 1st | 3 | 47% |
| 23 | Wed, Feb. 15 | vs Man City | ||||
| 24 | Sat, Feb. 18 | at Aston Villa | ||||
| 25 | Sat, Feb. 25 | at Leicester | ||||
| 26 | Sat, Mar. 4 | vs Bournemouth | ||||
| 27 | Sat, Mar. 11 | at Fulham | ||||
| 28 | Sat, Mar. 18 | vs C. Palace | ||||
| 29 | Sat, Apr. 1 | vs Leeds | ||||
| 30 | Sat, Apr. 8 | at Liverpool | ||||
| 31 | Sat, Apr. 15 | at West Ham | ||||
| 32 | Sat, Apr. 22 | vs Southampton | ||||
| 33 | Sat, Apr. 26 | at Man City | ||||
| 34 | Sat, Apr. 29 | vs Chelsea | ||||
| 35 | Sat, May 6 | at Newcastle | ||||
| 36 | Sat, May 13 | vs Brighton | ||||
| 37 | Sat, May 20 | at Nott’m Forest | ||||
| 38 | Sun, May 28 | vs Wolves | ||||
| 7 | TBD | vs Everton |
* Arsenal hold at least one game in hand at this stage
Last time Arsenal won Premier League
It’s been nearly 20 years since Arsenal supporters have seen their club finish the season at the top of the English top-flight.
“The Invincibles” — the only team in Premier League history to finish an entire campaign with an unblemished league record — claimed the Gunners’ last English league title in 2003/04.
That Arsenal side, led by manager Arsene Wenger, finished 11 points ahead of second-place Chelsea thanks to 26 victories and 12 draws in the 38-match Premier League season.
The attacking star of that side was club legend Thierry Henry, who won the league’s Golden Boot as top scorer with 30 goals, which were eight better than runner-up Alan Shearer.
The squad also included German ‘keeper Jens Lehmann, midfield marshal Patrick Vieira, creators Robert Pires and Freddie Ljungberg, Brazilian national team fixture Gilberto Silva, and defenders Sol Campbell, Ashley Cole, and Kolo Toure.
How many times Arsenal won Premier League
Since the English top division was relaunched as the Premier League in 1992/93 there have been 30 seasons played and Arsenal have emerged as champions on just three occasions: 1997/98, 2001/02, and 2003/04.
But before the Premier League, Arsenal had tasted championship success in 10 seasons, with first one coming back in 1930/31. Five of the Gunners’ 10 titles prior to the launch of the Premier League came during the 1930s.
Remarkably, Arsenal won two of its titles on a tiebreaker. They bested Preston North End in 1952/53 on goal average (goals scored per game), which was used before the advent of goal difference.
Then in 1988/89 they famously edged out Liverpool for the title on the final day of the season on a late Michael Thomas goal that put Arsenal level on goal difference with Liverpool and allowed them to win the title on the second tiebreaker (total goals scored).
Arsenal league titles (13)
| Season | Arsenal Points |
Runner-up (Points) |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2003/04 | 90 | Chelsea (79) | +11 |
| 2001/02 | 87 | Liverpool (80) | +7 |
| 1997/98 | 78 | Man United (77) | +1 |
| 1990/91 | 83 | Liverpool (76) | +7 |
| 1988/89 | 76 | Liverpool (76) | —** |
| 1970/71 | 65 | Leeds United (64) | +1 |
| 1952/53 | 54 | Preston (54) | —* |
| 1947/48 | 59 | Man United (52) | +7 |
| 1937/38 | 52 | Wolverhampton (51) | +1 |
| 1934/35 | 58 | Sunderland (54) | +4 |
| 1933/34 | 59 | Huddersfield (56) | +3 |
| 1932/33 | 58 | Aston Villa (54) | +4 |
| 1930/31 | 66 | Aston Villa (59) | +7 |
* Won title on goal average (1.52 vs. 1.42)
** Won title on goals scored (73 vs. 65)