A fascinating match overflowing with storylines takes place at Anfield as Liverpool, in desperate need of a string of results, welcome relegation-threatened Everton and new manager Sean Dyche.
The Toffees, in the midst of a battle to avoid the drop, started life under their new boss in a huge way, stunning league leaders Arsenal in Dyche’s first game in charge. Dyche’s mentality of toughness and grit has given Everton fans hope for a turnaround akin to last season when the storied club narrowly avoided the drop.
Liverpool, on the other hand, have gone winless in four league games and are sputtering in mid-table. It has led to talks of Jurgen Klopp’s dreaded “seventh season syndrome,” alluding to the time when things went wrong at his previous jobs and how that seems to mirror this season’s decline.
There’s plenty of Premier League football left to be played this season for both clubs to either achieve turnarounds or suffer disappointment, and this match may offer up a hint of what could be in store for the rest of the campaign.
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Liverpool vs Everton odds
Although Everton are coming off a win over Arsenal and Liverpool haven’t won a Premier League match since December 30, Liverpool are still the heavy betting favourites to bring Everton back down to Earth. The Reds are nearly 1/2 on the moneyline, while Everton are 5/1 underdogs.
Further lending to the belief that Everton are second-best, the “no” selection on both teams to score is slightly favoured, while the over 2.5 goals total is as well, meaning the market thinks goals will come, but that Everton will struggle to score.
However, in late movement, Liverpool’s moneyline advantage shrunk significantly, down from -200 to about -160 (or 1/2 to 3/5) just before kickoff, with some fans clearly believing Sean Dyche can secure a derby result. Everton, meanwhile, shot from 21/4 underdogs down to 17/4.
to score Y / N
|-135 / -110||-145 / -109||8/11, 1/1||1.70 / 2.05|
|Over / Under
|-140 / +100||-134 / +105||8/13, 6/5||1.70 / 2.15|
Liverpool vs Everton: Three things to know
Here are some basic facts to know about the Merseyside derby, including trends and potential lineups.
Liverpool vs Everton match facts
- Date: Monday, February 13
- Kickoff Time: 3 p.m. ET / 8 p.m. GMT / 7 a.m. AEDT (Thu, Dec. 15)
- Location: Anfield (Liverpool, England)
- Official: Simon Hooper
Liverpool vs Everton team news
The Reds are slowly getting back to health, but their injury list remains lengthy. Diogo Jota, Virgil van Dijk, and Roberto Firmino have returned to training, and all three make the bench against Everton. Ibrahima Konate will be shortly behind them, as will Arthur, while the timeline for Luis Diaz calls for a few more weeks.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been ruled out of the game, due to a thigh injury, with Michael Keane only fit enough for a spot on the bench at Anfield. Nathan Patterson and James Garner are out, while Andros Townsend is nearly back from his torn ACL.
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Liverpool vs Everton key stats
- The last time Liverpool went five straight winless matches in Premier League play was December 2021 to January 2022 when they suffered two defeats and three draws, dropping the Reds from first in the table to fifth. They would fall all the way to eighth before recovering to finish fourth.
- Mohamed Salah has gone five Premier League matches without a goal. The only time in his Liverpool career he’s gone six Premier League games without a goal was during a stretch of games between Dec, 2021 and Jan, 2022 — yep, the exact one just alluded to above.
- Prior to the match against Arsenal, Everton averaged just 3.5 accurate crosses per match, with a 20 percent accuracy rate. Against Arsenal, Everton completed nine successful crosses with a 38 percent accuracy rate, scoring their lone goal off a corner to the head of James Tarkowski.
Liverpool vs Everton prediction
- Moneyline lean: Draw (+340)
- Against-the-spread lean (handicap): Everton +1.5 (-190)
- Score prediction: Liverpool 1-1 Everton
Everton experienced a prime example of the new manager bounce against Arsenal last time out, as Sean Dyche completely reinvigorated the Toffees from top to bottom. The attack looked dangerous, the midfield was stout, and the defence was organized.
Liverpool, meanwhile, are in horrid form. While their worst results have all come away from home, they still have just one win in their last three at Anfield.
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Liverpool vs Everton: Best bet
- Pick: Everton double chance
- Odds: +150 (BetMGM)
Everything we saw Everton do well against Arsenal is everything Liverpool has struggled with through this rough patch of the season. To put it bluntly, this is a terrible matchup for the Reds.
Everton duo Andre Onana and Abdoulaye Doucoure dominated the midfield against the league leaders, locking down the Arsenal attack and running clean, effective counter-attacks. Often you’d expect a 1-0 result of that nature to look like a lucky victory on game flow analytics, but Everton won the xG battle cleanly 1.67-0.91. This was thanks to an exceptional use of set pieces and breakaways, and Dominic Calvert-Lewin should have scored to make the final scoreline look even more decisive.
Liverpool, meanwhile, have been leaky at the back against the counter and have no midfield presence to speak of at the moment. It’s a lot to expect the Toffees to win outright at Anfield, but an Everton result is not a farfetched outcome.
Liverpool vs Everton prop bet
- Pick: Under 4.5 total cards
- Odds: -124 (FanDuel)
This match, as a primetime derby affair, is sure to have some needle, especially with Sean Dyche pushing his gritty football at Everton. Yet there is reason to believe this one won’t completely boil over.
Simon Hooper, the referee in charge, is one of the more lenient officials in the Premier League by both yellows per game and fouls per tackle. While he’s not afraid to let the cards fly on occasion, he’s gone under the 4.5 card total in 14 of his 16 matches this season.
Additionally, Everton and Liverpool are the only two Premier League teams he’s not issued a yellow card to yet in 2022/23 (of the 18 clubs he’s officiated), taking charge of one match for each team and not showing a single yellow card to either side.
These two rivals have played some feisty battles lately, but six of their last nine have come under this 4.5 cards total. And the odds are pretty decent for a total that represents a pretty high bar to clear.
Liverpool vs Everton flier bet
- Pick: Dominic Calvert-Lewin anytime goalscorer
- Odds: +240 (BetMGM)
Last time out the Everton forward was lively against Arsenal, who have the best defence in the Premier League, and he should have scored. He’s been struggling this season for large stretches, but now with an organized structure behind him, he’s a force on the counter-attack.
Liverpool vs Everton live stream, TV channel
|USA||USA Network, Universo||fuboTV, Peacock|
|UK||Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League||Sky Sports|
|New Zealand||Sky Sport Premier League||Sky Sports|
|India||—||Hotstar VIP, JioTV|
|Hong Kong||620 Now Premier League TV, 621 Now Premier League 1||Now E, Now Player|