Super Bowl 57 is here, and with it either the Eagles or the Chiefs will win the ultimate battle for NFL hierarchy for the 2022 season. But the calendar already has turned to 2023 and the clock has started ticking in the race to win Super Bowl 58.
While the path to Glendale has come to an end, the road to return to the desert in Las Vegas on Feb. 11, 2024 has begun, with the long offseason including free agency, the draft and training camp looming before the next opening kickoff.
It might seem way-too-early to project how all the teams will stack up against each other, but here’s still an updated look, from No. 1 through No. 32.
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NFL power rankings 2023
1. Kansas City Chiefs (final 2022 regular-season ranking: 1)
The Chiefs stay right at the top because of their high floor with Patrick Mahomes in his prime with most of their core intact and only one key free-agent concern (left tackle Orlando Brown Jr.). Mahomes, Andy Reid and Kansas City are the new New England and Bill Belichick, the default team to beat in the entire NFL every year.
2. Philadelphia Eagles (4)
The Eagles need to sort out some veteran free agency issues on their offensive and defensive lines after their Super Bowl runner-up finished, but they will keep their window open before they need to commit a mega contract to Jalen Hurts. They have too much talent and depth not to be in right back in the mix next year even vs. a more challenging schedule.
3. Cincinnati Bengals (6)
The Bengals, like the Eagles with Hurts, will soon need to pay Joe Burrow and make some tough decisions at other positions. But they should also have another big push toward the Super Bowl with their mostly complete state and promising young nucleus. Like Mahomes, Burrow will keep the window propped open for a while.
4. San Francisco 49ers (2)
The 49ers will need to see the health of young QBs Trey Lance and Brock Purdy to help better make their decision to truly replace Jimmy Garoppolo, but the lean still should be the high upside with Lance. Either way, their rookie contracts guaranteed the 49ers’ roster will stay loaded elsewhere.
5. Buffalo Bills (5)
Josh Allen’s contract will start to take effect and they have some work to do again to rebuild the offensive line, backfield, defensive line and secondary with some holes popping up here and there. Allen still gives them a high floor but the cushion in the AFC East but might be gone.
6. Dallas Cowboys (6)
The Cowboys are changing offensive philosophy without Kellen Moore as Mike McCarthy and Brian Schottenheimer now try to deliver the necessary complementary group to Dan Quinn’s playmaking defense. They need to get Dak Prescott more reliable downfield passing help beyond CeeDee Lamb.
7. Baltimore Ravens (10)
This is assuming the Ravens do end up taking care of business with Lamar Jackson and he comes back for a healthy, more effective season with healthier help to boot. The defensive foundation remains strong and it’s difficult to keep a John Harbaugh-coached team down for long.
8. Los Angeles Chargers (7)
The Chargers stuck with Brandon Staley for his defensive acumen and should continue to get reinforcements there for short term with Justin Herbert’s big second contract looming. Moore should have a great impact in getting even more out of the big QB, assuming the injury doesn’t bite them as much.
9. Green Bay Packers (14)
Will Aaron Rodgers come out of the darkness and get into the light and the Packers’ lineup again? No one still knows for sure, but this offseason feels different with a real chance the moves, which would slide this team down with Jordan Love while elevating another team (Jets? Raiders?) into the top 10. With Rodgers, the Packers are good enough elsewhere when healthy to rebound to at least familiar playoff contention.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars (11)
The Jaguars could be the latest Doug Pederson-coached team to have a massive boom in the second year with a rising young athletic QB. Trevor Lawrence is working into the conversation as a top AFC passer that gives his team a high floor. Look for some aggressive spending and roster moves to take a big shot to shoot up from winning the weak South.
11. Detroit Lions (13)
The Lions deserve to roar up here in the top dozen after their near playoff breakout under Dan Campbell and Brad Holmes. Look for more solid moves that complement their youthful promise with the only question being how much they trust Jared Goff.
12. Pittsburgh Steelers (18)
Stay on high alert with the Steelers, who yet again avoided a losing season under Mike Tomlin while going through a major change at quarterback for the first time in a long time. Speaking of QB, look for the team to take advantage of Kenny Pickett’s second-year promise and making sure it is dangerous enough elsewhere.
13. New York Jets (23)
The Jets do need to find their quarterback answer and this position is based on having a very strong young team away from QB for Robert Saleh, now offensively and defensively. Getting Rodgers would immediately make them the favorites in the AFC East.
14. Denver Broncos (28)
The Broncos deserve a big leap because they made the splash hire of Super Bowl-winning coach Sean Payton. He will clean up everything offensively and defensively, starting to push Russell Wilson back on track. This will look more like the season they were supposed to have in 2022, until they were led by Nathaniel Hackett’s incompetence.
15. Seattle Seahawks (15)
The Seahawks took advantage of a weaker schedule, improved defense, revamped offensive line and stable QB play from Geno Smith to surprise everyone as a playoff team under Pete Carroll without Russell Wilson. After a great draft, they should keep piling on with the infusion of new talent.
16. New York Giants (9)
The Giants are now well-coached under Brian Daboll and should only improve the offense, assuming they bring back both Daniel Jones and Saquon Barkley. A few more pieces on both sides and they can get closer to pushing the Eagles and Cowboys.
17. Miami Dolphins (17)
The Dolphins overachieved offensively to get them into the playoffs but the cool off will come with uncertainty around Tua Tagovailoa. Look for the defense to end up being more reliable as a strength thanks to Vic Fangio.
16. Los Angeles Rams (27)
The Rams have some question marks about Matthew Stafford’s durability going forward and there’s a chance more core players are broken up from the defense. With Sean McVay back, however, it’s hard to drop them beyond the muddled middle.
19. Cleveland Browns (20)
Deshaun Watson in theory should provide a major QB upgrade to give them a higher ceiling, but they still be run-reliant and could use to become a little more explosive despite some good receiving options. The defense needs to perform a lot better behind Myles Garrett, however, to get them in playoff positioh.
20. Minnesota Vikings (8)
Everyone knows the Vikings defied the statistics and the odds to be a big-time winning team last season, leading them to be exposed right away in the playoffs. Their defense rebuild is still in progress and might be getting time to veer away from Kirk Cousins’ floor and go for higher upside to boost Justin Jefferson and the rest of their offense.
21. New England Patriots (16)
The Patriots are doing their best to maintain their defensive pop under Bill Belichick and backing that up with a complementary running game. But they are facing a make-or-break year for Mac Jones with more transition in the passing game.
22. Las Vegas Raiders (24)
Should this team end up with Rodgers to replace Carr, it would become an instant threat to taking the division away from the Chiefs, Chargers and Broncos. But in the current state with Derek Carr as a lame duck and massive defensive holes away from Maxx Crosby, this is the Raiders’ best case.
23. Chicago Bears (31)
The Bears know they have something special in Justin Fields. This offseason needs to be about being aggressive and loading up the offensive assets he needs to make a big passing jump on top of his incredible running. There’s also the capital available to make the defense more respectable in relation to past strengths.
24. New Orleans Saints (19)
The Saints are trying to march through quarterback duct-tape style without Drew Brees and need to tap into the draft to avoid another bridge year. Dennis Allen’s defense is still sound but some of the old pieces are starting to become more unreliable.
25. Tennessee Titans (22)
It might feel like Mike Vrabel’s team is due for a major drop off but their brand of physical play and knowing how to battle through attrition will keep them more competitive than expected. Just keep in mind there’s enough limitations, especially with passing game and pass defense, the ceiling is still rather low.
26. Carolina Panthers (25)
The Panthers likely will be breaking in a rookie first-round quarterback is bound to take some lumps with the running game needing some repair to help and the receiving corps needing more reliability and versatility after D.J. Moore. They will lean a lot on defense, much like Frank Reich did with the Colts, to complement that. At least Reich will right the mind-set and identity for plenty of optimism.
27. Washington Commanders (21)
The Commanders drop here because despite some promise with their running game, receiving corps in defense, are for now planning to roll with Sam Howell as their starting QB. Look for more shaky and limited returns from the most important position.
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28. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (12)
The Buccaneers don’t have any quarterback answers yet without Tom Brady. They have some key defensive free agents and had some coaching turnover. It should be back to the losing ways despite some good front-line talent.
29. Atlanta Falcons (27)
The Falcons need to find out soon whether they think Desmond Ridder is the answer at QB to get more out of their talented young receiving weapons to break out of run-heavy mode. The defense has a couple holdover stars, but it needs a lot of help.
30. Houston Texans (32)
The Texans did make the right coaching hire this time with their mentality of a rebuild by bringing DeMeco Ryans back to Houston. Now they must ace the draft and find their franchise QB to turn around the fortunes.
31. Arizona Cardinals (30)
The Cardinals are taking their time with their coaching search with new production and durability concerns for Kyler Murray, who may soon be in an offense without DeAndre Hopkins. The defense will lose some up front on top of a retired J.J. Watt and there are big questions on the back end, too.
32. Indianapolis Colts (29)
The Colts have an unknown and messy coaching situation and it’s also uncertain where they”ll go this time at quarterback. That doesn’t bode well for them to dig out of the AFC cellar.