FA Cup predictions, betting odds, best bets for Round of 16 in 2023

The FA Cup has whittled the field down to 16 teams, and there are sides represented from all across the English football tiers as Premier League giants match up against would-be heroes from up and down the country’s league structure.

Defending champions Liverpool are out of the competition, so this year is already guaranteed to see a new winner hoist the trophy after the final this summer.

The most recent winners that are still alive are Leicester City, having secured the crown two years ago in their first-ever FA Cup title. Manchester City last won the competition in 2019, while Manchester United last won in 2016.

Of the 16 remaining clubs, nearly half of them are from lower leagues, with five Championship clubs joined by one from League One and one from League Two.

MORE: When is the FA Cup final? Schedule, venue, and more for this year’s competition

Odds to win the FA Cup 2023

Manchester City are still in the hunt after downing their chief league title opponents Arsenal in the previous round, as are their arch-rivals Manchester United. Those two bitter enemies are the top favourites to win the competition, with fellow top-four contenders Tottenham back in third.

Other Premier League sides remaining in the competition are Fulham, Brighton, Leicester City, West Ham, Leeds, and Southampton. However, only a maximum of seven can reach the quarterfinals, as at least two will be eliminated in this round thanks to the draw crafting two top-flight matchups.

The minnows still alive include League One competitors Fleetwood Town and League Two side Grimsby Town.

MORE: FA Cup replays scrapped for the Round of 16 and beyond

Odds via Caesars (USA), Sports Interaction (Canada), SkyBet (UK), and Neds (Australia).


Team Odds (USA) Odds (UK) Odds (Canada) Odds (Australia)
Man City +150 6/4 +115 2.38
Man United +350 7/2 +258 4.50
Tottenham +500 6/1 +417 7.00
Brighton +800 8/1 +557 8.00
Leicester City +1500 14/1 +1500 21.00
Fulham +1700 20/1 +1300 21.00
West Ham +2000 20/1 +1600 26.00
Leeds United +2000 25/1 +1900 26.00
Southampton +2000 25/1 +2500 29.00
Burnley +4000 33/1 +2900 34.00
Sheffield United +6600 66/1 +7000 67.00
Stoke City +12500 100/1 +10600 101.00
Bristol City +12500 150/1 +20200 201.00
Blackburn +12500 150/1 +10600 101.00
Fleetwood +50000 500/1 +50000 251.00
Grimsby Town +75000 1000/1 +50000 1001.00

Stoke City vs Brighton odds, prediction, best bet

Odds via BetMGM (USA), Sports Interaction (Canada), SkyBet (UK), and Neds (Australia).

  BetMGM Sports
SkyBet Neds
Stoke City win +600 +583 7/1 7.50
Draw +360 +342 7/2 4.40
Brighton win -225 +235 2/5 1.44
Stoke City advance +320 +310 7/2 4.40
Brighton advance -550 -526 1/6 1.18
  • Moneyline lean: Brighton (-225)
  • Score prediction: Stoke City 0-1 Brighton
  • Pick: Under 2.5 goals
  • Odds: -105 (BetMGM)

This should be a low-key enthralling match between two teams that love to possess the ball, rip off a ton of shots, but struggle to put the ball in the back of the net. Last time out in Premier League play, Brighton secured 66 per cent possession against Fulham and outshot the Whites 21-5, but put just seven of those on target and came up empty in a 1-0 loss. Stoke City, meanwhile, controlled 72% possession at home against Millwall and outshot their opponent 15-7, but only put three on target and lost 1-0.

So what happens here? Probably a whole lot of cancelling each other out in midfield. Brighton will surely control much of the possession, and probably win, but it will be a slog. Take the under.

Leicester City vs Blackburn odds, prediction, best bet

Odds via BetMGM (USA), Sports Interaction (Canada), SkyBet (UK), and Neds (Australia).

  BetMGM Sports
SkyBet Neds
Leicester win -250 -276 1/3 1.36
Draw +400 +386 4/1 4.75
Blackburn win +650 +669 8/1 8.50
Leicester advance -600 -625 1/8 1.15
Blackburn advance +360 +360 9/2 5.00
  • Moneyline lean: Draw (+400)
  • Score prediction: Leicester City 1-1 Blackburn
  • Pick: Blackburn double chance
  • Odds: +195 (BetMGM)

Blackburn haven’t lost since January 14 in a wacko 4-0 defeat to Rotherham where they held an incredible 78% possession but managed just nine shots — the Championship is truly a weird place. In the nine matches since then, Blackburn have scored more than one goal just twice, but their opponent scored more than one goal just once.

That bodes terribly for Leicester City, who are struggling for consistency in front of net. The Foxes have been blanked four times in their last seven league games, and while four-goal outbursts against Aston Villa and Tottenham stand out, those are chaotic teams who play into Leicester’s hands. There’s something in this for the top-tier Championship side battling for promotion.

Fulham vs Leeds United odds, prediction, best bet

Odds via BetMGM (USA), Sports Interaction (Canada), SkyBet (UK), and Neds (Australia).

  BetMGM Sports
SkyBet Neds
Fulham win +100 -116 11/10 2.15
Draw +250 +240 5/2 3.40
Leeds win +240 +220 23/10 3.25
Fulham advance -185 -167 4/7 1.60
Leeds advance +125 +119 5/4 2.20
  • Moneyline lean: Draw (+250)
  • Score prediction: Fulham 2-2 Leeds United
  • Pick: Over 2.5 goals
  • Odds: -135 (BetMGM)

In what has the potential to be the most exciting, thrilling matchup of the FA Cup Round of 16, a relegation-threatened Leeds side travels south for a matchup with a Fulham team relying heavily on their incredible goalkeeper. Bernd Leno is having the season of his life, statistically the best goalkeeper in the Premier League by a mile, as Fulham have conceded the highest expected goals against tally of any team in the top-flight.

It’s worth mentioning that because Leno probably won’t play in this match, as Marek Rodak, who was the first-choice goalkeeper amidst Fulham’s promotion campaign last season, has taken Cup duties. Leeds aren’t quite as chaotic as they were under Jesse Marsch, but they haven’t changed that much. No matter who Fulham deploy in this match, whether it’s a heavily rotated side or not, there should be chances for Leeds in this game. The over isn’t skewed heavily enough to deter us from hammering it, even if Aleksandar Mitrovic doesn’t play.

Bristol City vs Man City odds, prediction, best bet

Odds via BetMGM (USA), Sports Interaction (Canada), SkyBet (UK), and Neds (Australia).

  BetMGM Sports
SkyBet Neds
Bristol City win +1250 +1100 11/1 13.00
Draw +625 +587 6/1 7.00
Man City win -500 -567 1/5 1.18
Bristol City advance +700 +600 7/1 8.50
Man City advance -1400 -1429 1/14 1.06
  • Moneyline lean: Man City (-500)
  • Score prediction: Bristol City 1-3 Man City
  • Pick: Jack Grealish anytime goalscorer / Phil Foden anytime goalscorer
  • Odds: +180 / +100 (BetMGM)

Amidst a tense Premier League title fight, Pep Guardiola will almost surely rotate his squad heavily for this game. That doesn’t mean Bristol City won’t be up against a juggernaut, but they likely won’t be facing the best Man City have to offer.

Bristol City are on a 12-match unbeaten run, and are greatly improved from the first half of the season when they were leaking goals in waves. Still, it’s hard to see them keeping City out for multiple goals. Betting these extremely one-sided games are very difficult because the odds are all out of whack, so we turn to two players currently cooking who Pep Guardiola may wish to give time to continue their great form.

It’s unlikely both will play, so watch the teamsheet before placing these selections, but whoever makes the starting lineup should be a good bet to find the back of the net, since both are in good form.

Erling Haaland and Pep Guardiola

Getty Images

Southampton vs. Grimsby Town odds, prediction, best bet

Odds via BetMGM (USA), Sports Interaction (Canada), SkyBet (UK), and Neds (Australia).

  BetMGM Sports
SkyBet Neds
Saints win -350 -334 2/7 1.30
Draw +475 +421 17/4 5.20
Grimsby win +825 +720 8/1 10.00
Saints advance -800 -769 1/10 1.13
Grimsby advance +450 +400 11/2 5.50
  • Moneyline lean: Draw (+475)
  • Score prediction: Southampton 1-1 Grimsby Town
  • Pick: Grimsby double chance
  • Odds: +240 (BetMGM)

Southampton get the task of taking on the lowest-ranked club left in the competition, as League Two side Grimsby Town are currently 16th in the table, meaning they are 84th in the English football overall table. That’s not always a good thing, as the Saints will come up against a team with absolutely nothing to lose.

Saints barely skated by Blackpool in the last round, and new manager Ruben Selles knows that Premier League safety is of paramount importance, making for some difficult decisions in his lineup, including with priceless midfielder James Ward-Prowse. Grimsby will be out-classed no matter who steps on the field for Southampton, but this League Two team can defend, and Southampton is one of the worst finishing teams in the Premier League, which is why the under is so heavily favoured.

Given it’s entirely likely that there will only be one or two goals in this game unless Saints run away with it, taking Grimsby on the double chance at +240 is great value. This match could easily end in a 0-0 or 1-1 draw.

Burnley vs Fleetwood Town odds, prediction, best bet

Odds via BetMGM (USA), Sports Interaction (Canada), SkyBet (UK), and Neds (Australia).

  BetMGM Sports
SkyBet Neds
Burnley win -300 -354 2/7 1.30
Draw +450 +428 17/4 5.20
Fleetwood win +825 +800 9/1 11.00
Burnley advance -800 -833 1/10 1.11
Fleetwood advance +450 +440 11/2 6.00
  • Moneyline lean: Burnley (-300)
  • Score prediction: Burnley 2-0 Fleetwood Town
  • Pick: Burnley -1.5 handicap
  • Odds: -120 (BetMGM)

The only matchup of the Round of 16 that doesn’t feature a Premier League club got the next best thing in Championship leaders Burnley. They host Fleetwood Town, who sit 11th in League One and are enjoying a six-match unbeaten run across all competitions, which started with their 1-0 win over Sheffield Wednesday in their FA Cup fourth round replay.

Burnley, however, see Fleetwood’s six-match unbeaten run and raise you to their 14 game streak, holding a massive 12-point lead atop the Championship and already with one foot in the top-flight next year. They’re pouring on goals (68) and hardly conceding any (28), first in the league in both categories. They have wins of 4-0, 3-0, and 3-0 just in the month of February alone. This has only one winner, and it’s probably going to come at a significant margin of victory.

Man United vs West Ham odds, prediction, best bet

Odds via BetMGM (USA), Sports Interaction (Canada), SkyBet (UK), and Neds (Australia).

  BetMGM Sports
SkyBet Neds
Man United win -150 -165 8/13 1.67
Draw +280 +284 3/1 3.80
West Ham win +400 +406 17/4 5.00
Man United advance -300 -333 2/7 1.30
West Ham advance +220 +220 5/2 3.20
  • Moneyline lean: Man United (-150)
  • Score prediction: Man United 2-0 West Ham
  • Pick: Man United -1 handicap
  • Odds: +105 (BetMGM)

West Ham are a very difficult team to figure out this season. By expected points, they should be ninth in the Premier League table, but they struggle in front of goal and are being scored on in crazy ways. Yet of their six wins this season, five of them have come by a multi-goal margin.

Man United are fighting on multiple fronts, having already won the EFL Cup, and something may have to give. It wouldn’t be shocking to see multiple players rested in this competition. Still, Alejandro Garnacho and Facundo Pellistri have been great when given opportunities, and they could see the field here.

West Ham have only managed to beat one top-half team this season, being Fulham way in the beginning of the season. United should keep their quadruple hopes alive a little longer.

Sheffield United vs Tottenham odds, prediction, best bet

Odds via BetMGM (USA), Sports Interaction (Canada), SkyBet (UK), and Neds (Australia).

  BetMGM Sports
SkyBet Neds
Sheffield Utd win +333 +321 7/2 4.25
Draw +275 +286 11/4 3.70
Tottenham win -125 -129 3/4 1.80
Sheffield Utd advance +180 +180 2/1 2.75
Tottenham advance -275 -256 4/11 1.40
  • Moneyline lean: Tottenham (-125)
  • Score prediction: Sheffield United 0-1 Tottenham
  • Pick: Half with most goals — 2H
  • Odds: +100 (BetMGM)

Tottenham are in a bitter fight for Champions League football next season, but even if they miss out, they should still secure a Europa League position eventually. That means the FA Cup isn’t exactly a detractor, and thus Antonio Conte and his staff should decide there is reason to play a strong squad in this match.

Sheffield United sit second in the Championship table, but they’re 12 points back of leaders Burnley thanks to a recent dip in February form that includes a draw with relegation-threatened Rotherham, a second close call against non-league Wrexham in the FA Cup fourth round, and a pair of gutting late defeats to Millwall and Watford.

The Blades are a gritty team, and the home ground will help, but Tottenham will be too much to handle. 


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