The 2023 NFL off-season has been another doozy thus far and unsurprisingly star quarterbacks have been in the spotlight.
As Lamar Jackson’s situation with the Baltimore Ravens remains relatively stagnant, a deal between the Green Bay Packers and New York Jets appears to be in the works although as of Friday afternoon Aaron Rodgers had not been traded.
New York overperformed relative to expectations this past year with Sauce Gardner emerging as an elite lockdown talent and fellow rookies Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall helping lead an offence that for much of the season was held back by subpar QB play. The Jets were 6-3 prior to their bye week but closed out the year on a 1-7 skid and missed the playoffs.
The Jets opened the 2022 campaign with 125/1 odds to win the Super Bowl, the third-worst odds in the entire league, but so much has changed in less than one calendar year.
As it stands now, even before Rodgers has been traded the Jets are roughly 9/1 and among the top half dozen contending teams heading into the 2023 season, according to the latest Super Bowl odds.
With free agency opening earlier this week, and many teams making moves in the leadup to the negotiating window, the futures markets have also seen plenty of changes since the Chiefs hoisted the Lombardi Trophy last month.
SUPER BOWL LVIII OUTRIGHT WINNER ODDS
Kansas City +385 (February odds: +380)
San Francisco +525 (February odds: +495)
Buffalo +535 (February odds: +530)
Philadelphia +575 (February odds: +525)
Cincinnati +595 (February odds: +615)
New York Jets +905 (February odds: +1735)
Dallas +970 (February odds: +930)
Los Angeles Chargers +1480 (February odds: +1425)
Detroit +1635 (February odds: +1995)
Jacksonville +1750 (February odds: +1870)
Miami +1760 (February odds: +2345)
Baltimore +1830 (February odds: +1765)
New Orleans +2250 (February odds: +2910)
Los Angeles Rams +2400 (February odds: +2015)
Denver +2430 (February odds: +2345)
Cleveland +2615 (February odds: +2695)
Minnesota +2675 (February odds: +2675)
NY Giants +2705 (February odds: +2855)
Las Vegas +2880 (February odds: +2555)
Green Bay +2995(February odds: +2010)
Chicago +3495 (February odds: +5510)
Carolina +3610 (February odds: +3890)
Pittsburgh +4055 (February odds: +3975)
Seattle +4145 (February odds: +4345)
New England +4315 (February odds: +3580)
Washington +4530 (February odds: +4535)
Tennessee +5110 (February odds: +4565)
Tampa Bay +5440 (February odds: +3925)
Atlanta +5590 (February odds: +5160)
Indianapolis +7710 (February odds: +6260)
Arizona +10600 (February odds: +8330)
Houston +11100 (February odds: +9420)
The defending champion Chiefs are still chalk despite losing some solid starters like left tackle Orlando Brown Jr., who’s joining fellow AFC contender Cincinnati. Kansas City performed better on offence in 2022 than they did in 2021 and that was after losing Tyreek Hill last off-season, so suffice it to say oddsmakers are keeping their collective faith in Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes.
The Bills are favoured to win the AFC East again but the division has tightened. The Dolphins improved on defence with addition of Jalen Ramsey and added some Tua insurance with backup QB and former Jet Mike White. Can New England ever fully be counted out if Bill Belichick is still the coach?
The 49ers are currently favoured to make it out of the NFC, just ahead of the Eagles, but will it be newly-signed Sam Darnold or 2021 third-overall pick Trey Lance or 2022 Mr. Irrelevant Brock Purdy behind centre?
The biggest risers in terms of potential value have been the Bears, Jets and Saints.
Trading the No. 1 pick in April’s upcoming draft to Carolina for the No. 9 pick, a 2023 second, a 2024 first, 2025 second plus wide receiver D.J. Moore contributed to the Bears’ odds shortening up. There is still plenty of work to be done in Chicago but if the team hits on these prominent draft slots and continue building around Justin Fields the short-term ceiling is drastically higher than it was in the not-too-distant past.
New Orleans adding Derek Carr and New York presumably on the verge of getting a four-time MVP are the primary reasons the Saints the Jets have jumped. The Jets also added safety Chuck Clark in a trade with Baltimore, and inked Rodgers’ Packers teammate WR Allen Lazard.
Some of the biggest fallers include Green Bay, Tampa Bay, Indianapolis, New England, Tennessee, Houston and Arizona. The Texans and Cardinals are the only teams with odds longer than 100/1.
Jimmy Garoppolo is joining Las Vegas, however the addition of Jimmy G hasn’t resulted in oddsmakers giving the Raiders a realistic shot at winning the franchise’s first division title in more than 20 years.
In fact, there are intriguing odds and potential value all across the various division title markets.
DIVISION TITLE ODDS
Buffalo +120 | NY Jets +205 | Miami +355 | New England +760
Kansas City -145 | LA Chargers +315 | Denver +435 | Las Vegas +965
Cincinnati +130 | Baltimore +240 | Cleveland +330 | Pittsburgh +530
Jacksonville -150 | Tennessee +280 | Indianapolis +550 | Houston +900
Philadelphia -105 | Dallas +170 | NY Giants +625 | Washington +860
San Francisco -190 | LA Rams +330 | Seattle +455 | Arizona +1995
Detroit +135 | Minnesota +290 | Chicago +335 | Green Bay +385
New Orleans +130 | Carolina +215 | Tampa Bay +435 | Atlanta +435
(Odds above via Sports Interaction as of Friday afternoon, rounded to nearest multiple of five and subject to change)