Barcelona vs Porto prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Champions League match

The top two sides in Champions League Group H clash this midweek as Portuguese side Porto travel to face Barcelona at Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys. 

After four group stage matches, both of these two sides have identical records, with the pair both winning three times and losing once. They also both sit on a +6 goal difference, although it’s Barcelona who currently top the group – on head-to-head record – thanks to their hard-fought 1-0 win in the reverse fixture. 

As such, Porto will enter here looking for revenge and the chance to seal their progression to the knockout stages in the process. A win would do that if if Shakhtar Donetsk fail to beat Antwerp in the other match, while a draw for Porto could also potentially be enough if Shakhtar lose.

The equation is simple for Barca – a victory would send them through. If they can’t manage that, they could still qualify depending on other results, plus with a last matchday outing against whipping boys Antwerp to come, their progression remains extremely likely even with a poor result in this clash. The Sporting News previews the game here.

MORE: UEFA Champions League group stage standings, results, schedule

Barcelona vs Porto match facts

  • Date: Tuesday, November 28, 2023
  • Kickoff time: 9:00 p.m. local (3:00 p.m. ET / 12:00 a.m. PT)
  • Location: Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys (Barcelona, Spain)
  • Last meeting: Porto 0-1 Barcelona (Oct. 4, 2023 | Champions League)

Barcelona vs Porto prediction, odds

  • Moneyline lean: Barcelona (-200)
  • Score prediction: Barcelona 2-1 Porto
  BAR
win
Draw POR
win
Both teams
to score Y / N
Over / Under
2.5 goals
DraftKings
(USA)
-200 +350 +550 -120 / +100 -140 / +115

Barcelona vs Porto best bet

  • Pick: Both teams to score – YES
  • Odds: -120 (DraftKings)

Keeping just one clean sheet across their past six competitive outings, Barcelona struggled again defensively at the weekend as they could only manage a 1-1 draw with Rayo Vallecano. 

That will give Porto hope they can find the back of the net, especially as the away side remain in top scoring form of late, netting in seven of their eight matches since being shut put by the Catalan side in the reverse fixture. 

Barca remain lethal in attack, especially in this competition in particular after scoring eight times across their four matches. On home soil, they beat Shakhtar 2-1 after smashing Antwerp 5-0 – so backing them to find the back of the net again here seems a safe move.

At -120, picking the both teams to score selection gives a bit of value and looks a good pick with each of the hosts’ previous three matches finishing in a 2-1 scoreline.

Barcelona vs Porto flier bet

  • Pick: Barcelona to win, Joao Felix to score first and over 2.5 goals
  • Odds: +1150 (DraftKings)

Although they didn’t manage to beat Rayo at the weekend, Barcelona still remain the heavy favourite for this clash and for good reason. 

The Catalan giants have won all four of their prior Champions League meetings with Porto, while they’ve never been beaten at home in European competition by a Portuguese team (W7, D2).

The second part of this bet is picking the over 2.5 goals scored. Barca’s defensive weakness will likely see them fail to keep a clean sheet here, especially with Porto’s strong attacking line, but they’ve also scored in all nine of their competitive home matches this campaign. Six of those have seen them scored two or more times to boot. 

As for Joao Felix scoring first, that’s the kicker here that significantly increases the odds. He’s only netted three times this season, but all three have come on home soil, with two coming against Antwerp. In fact, both his goalscoring appearances this campaign have seen him open the scoring. 

Create a parlay of both selections for +1600 here at DraftKings

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