Dak Prescott TNF props & MVP odds: Cowboys QB to continue hot streak vs. Seahawks

The Dallas Cowboys host the Seattle Seahawks on Thursday Night Football tonight to begin Week 13 of NFL play. The conversation around who the 8-3 Cowboys have defeated is picking up steam around the league, so a win against a winning Seahawks ball club would go a long way. 

Before tonight’s TNF action, we’re looking at Dak Prescott’s props and MVP odds.  

NFL MVP betting odds entering Seahawks vs. Cowboys on TNF

Multiple top-rated sportsbooks have Jalen Hurts as the clear favorite to win the NFL MVP award.

Behind Hurts lands Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, and Prescott.

Here are the latest NFL MVP betting odds

Dak Prescott’s NFL MVP betting odds: Cowboys QB lurks as a value play

Prescott has the fourth-shortest odds to win this season’s MVP award at .

Hurts, Mahomes, and Jackson all have compelling arguments to win MVP. Part of their resume is the strong schedules their teams have faced.

Compared to his peers, Prescott has a higher completion percentage and more passing yards and touchdowns. While he has the numbers to win the award, he lacks the quality wins. That might change over the last six games.

To end the season, Dallas has one of the toughest schedules in football. After Seattle tonight, their remaining schedule includes Philadelphia, Buffalo, Miami, Detroit, and Washington. Excluding Washington, each of those teams is currently a playoff team.

How Prescott performs in those games will determine his fate. He’ll have to stack up a few wins and good performances against the teams on the backend of the Cowboys’ schedule.

More NFL: Updated NFL playoff odds | NFL Week 13 Survivor picks

Best Dak Prescott player props vs. Seahawks on TNF

Dak Prescott OVER passing yards

Prescott has thrown for 300 or more yards in four of his last five games. Although the competition was low, Seattle also lacks a top-tier passing defense.

The Seahawks are 22nd in the league in passing yards allowed, surrendering 231 yards per contest. Meanwhile, Prescott is 12th in the league in passing attempts. 

Dak hasn’t thrown fewer than 31 times over his last five games. Unlike past seasons, Prescott is throwing vertically more often. Dallas is second in the league in big passing plays (>25 yards) with 29 total this season, second to Houston (33).

Another factor that bodes well for the OVER here is Seattle’s middle-of-the-pack pass rush. Their lack of star power along the defensive front won’t threaten the Cowboys’ offensive line enough to trouble Prescott. Like many other QBs, Prescott is best when throwing from a clean pocket. 

Read: 49ers vs. Eagles props, betting lines

Dak Prescott OVER rushing yards

Prescott’s rushing total is surprisingly low. Even while setting the league ablaze through the air this year, he’s had some impact on the ground with his legs. Dak has rushed for at least 10 yards in seven of his 11 starts this season.

Most of his rushing yardage comes on broken plays when he wants to buy more time. 

The Cowboys’ passing attack will surely be the focal point of the Seahawks’ defensive efforts in the matchup. Cowboys running back Tony Pollard hasn’t carried the ball more than 15 times since Week 3.

With the Cowboys leaning on their aerial attack, the chances of a coverage-induced scramble increase, which favors the OVER on this line. Seattle is currently 21st in rush defense, allowing 117 yards per contest. If the play breaks down, they’ll struggle to minimize the damage if Prescott leaves the pocket.

More action: Seahawks vs. Cowboys TNF touchdown scorer props

Dak Prescott OVER completions

The Cowboys have passed the ball on 60% of their offensive plays in the last three games. That would be good enough for a top-10 passing rate in the league if it were their season’s average. Up against a bottom-tier passing defense, that trend is likely to continue.

Another factor in Dak’s favor is that the increased volume hasn’t hurt his completion percentage. It’s climbed since the team shifted away from a balanced run-pass ratio. He’s bumped up his completion percentage to 70%, taking full advantage of the increased responsibilities under center. 

He’s also eclipsed his completion total for the upcoming TNF contest in seven of his last 11 games. Seattle’s passing defense and average pass rush can’t slow Dak’s efficiency. 

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