Army vs. Navy betting lines, props & predictions: Total opens at historic low

Army beat Navy for the fourth time in six years last season and have opened as slight favorites to beat the Midshipmen again this year. But like any rivalry, especially one as intense as this one, bettors shouldn’t underestimate either team.

For the first time since the 2005 Army-Navy game, the final score was OVER the total, ending a 16-year run for the UNDER. The streak would have continued if the game had not gone to double overtime.

Last year’s 32.5 total was the lowest in the series since 1995. This season’s total sets a new mark at .

Army vs. Navy: spread, moneyline and total

With both teams featuring one of the best rushing attacks in the nation, it would not be shocking if this game ends up being another low-scoring slugfest.

Here are live Army vs. Navy odds from top sports betting apps:

Army vs. Navy betting trends

  • Navy leads the all-time series vs. Army, 62-54-7
  • Army has won five of the last seven meetings after losing 14 in a row.
  • Army won last season in the first overtime game in the series, 20-17, 2OT.
  • Navy’s last win came in 2021 with a 17-13 upset over Army; Black Knights were 7-point favorites.
  • Last season’s 2OT game was the first time the final score was OVER the total since 2005.
  • If the total remains at 27.5 points, it will tie for the second-lowest total in FBS history (Iowa-Nebraska closed at 24.5 points in Week 13 after opening at 27.5).
  • Both teams were 5-6 SU this season; Navy was 4-7 ATS, and Army was 4-6-1.
  • OVER was 5-6 for Army and 4-7 for Navy.
  • Underdogs have won outright four times since 1995 (1996, 2000, 2016 and 2017).

Army vs. Navy prop picks

Bryson Daily, anytime touchdown

Daily led Army in scoring this season with seven rushing touchdowns and recorded at least one in three of his last four games. In a rivalry game as intense as this one, expect the team’s quarterback and leader to call his own number near the goal line.

He carried the ball 36 times for 170 yards and two touchdowns against Air Force.

Alex Tecza, anytime touchdown

Seven players have recorded rushing touchdowns for the Midshipmen this year, but Tecza led the team with five. Tecza has the most carries for Navy this season (117) and the highest per-carry average (6.2) to go with breakaway speed. It will be tough for anyone to score against a solid Army defense, but we like his chances.

First half, UNDER

Navy’s offense has gotten off to terrible starts during the latter half of the season, with 28 first-half points total in the last three games (including three first-half shutouts). Army’s offense has rolled in the first half of the last three games with 58 points.

We can see Army shutting out the Navy offense in the first half while the Midshipmen hold the Black Knights to a touchdown.

Army vs. Navy betting analysis

Army finished its season on a nice three-game winning streak, but the Black Knights haven’t played since Nov. 18 (a 28-21 win over Coastal Carolina). While that likely means they’ll enter the game as healthy as they’ve been all season, it may take some time to knock the rust off after such a long break.

Navy last played Thanksgiving weekend in a 59-14 loss to SMU but had won their previous two games over Eastern Carolina (10-0) and UAB (31-6). So, both teams may need a couple series to get comfortable.

Both will look to do what they’ve done all season: establish the run. Navy averaged around 200.5 yards per game this season, to 208.3 for Army. As usual, the passing game for either team will not be something to worry about; Army averaged 107.3 passing yards this season while Navy averaged just 99.

The Midshipmen have a decent run defense (No. 28, 121.9 yards per game allowed) that could slow down the Black Knights rushing attack. Army’s run defense, on the other hand, has allowed over 180 yards per game this season, which could open the door to a possible upset for the Navy if the Midshipmen can establish the run.

Bets to consider

UNDER

It is an incredibly low number, but this game is traditionally a low-scoring affair. The UNDER streak would have continued if it had ended in the first overtime period last year. Both teams are great at running the ball, so it will likely be another tight, low-scoring contest.

Bryson Daily, anytime touchdown

Look for Daily to take over this game just like he took over against Air Force a few weeks ago. He’ll get into the end zone at least once. It would also not be shocking to see him score twice, a market with significant value at +1700 (via FanDuel).

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