Best NFL prop bets for Saturday: Jahmyr Gibbs, Ja’Marr Chase, Zack Moss among top over/under picks

It’s the most wonderful time of the year, so naturally, we have NFL football on four nights of the week. Saturday brings us what should be a fantastic tripleheader with plenty of playoff implications. Today, we will unveil our favorite over/under props for Week 15’s three-game Saturday slate, hopefully helping make you some mid-December cash to put toward your Christmas credit card bill. 

Kicking off the Saturday slate, Ja’Marr Chase and the Bengals host Justin Jefferson and the Vikings in a duel of backup QBs (1:00 p.m. ET, CBS). Then Mike Tomlin’s Steelers travel to Indy to face the Colts in a battle of seven-win squads (4:30 p.m., CBS). The day culminates in a prime-time clash between Jared Goff and the Lions and Russell Wilson and the Broncos in Motown (8:15 p.m., FOX), an interconference tilt that will affect both the NFC and AFC playoff picture. 

Searching for alternative ways to get action down on Saturday’s NFL tripleheader outside of the traditional side and total markets? You’ve come to the right place! We scoured Canada’s most trusted sportsbook, Sports Interaction, pinpointing the prop bets we believe yield the most value. All you need to do is window-shop our best bets, pick your favorites, and enjoy the show on Saturday while you root for your props to hit. 

Let’s get to our picks. Here are our favorite over/under prop bets for Saturday’s NFL tripleheader. Good luck, have fun, and happy holidays to you and yours!

MORE: Bet on Satuday’s NFL games on Sports Interaction now!

Best NFL prop bets for Week 15’s Saturday slate

Odds courtesy for Sports Interaction

Ja’Marr Chase, WR, Bengals vs. Vikings — OVER 5.5 receptions (-110)

Some may see this as a volatile prop with Jake Browning under center, but we have no issue betting on Chase’s OVER in what should be a close game (Cincy is currently favored -3). Browning has a few games as a starter under his belt since Joe Burrow’s season-ending wrist injury, and Chase has easily been his favorite target.

Over the past three games, Browning and Chase have connected on 18-of-22 targets for 259 yards and a TD. Now the Bengals duo faces a Minnesota defense that has surrendered the fourth-most completions per game on the season (24.5) and over the past three games (25.0).

Even if weather winds up affecting this game, we trust in the overwhelming talent of Chase in a “rivalry” game with fellow LSU wideout Justin Jefferson. Whereas fellow Bengals receiver Tee Higgins has battled injuries and inconsistencies all season, most recently catching just five-of-seven targets for 108 yards over the past two weeks, Chase has been a steady and often-dominating presence for Cincy regardless of who starts. Chase Chase’s OVER on total catches this Saturday afternoon. 

Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Lions vs. Broncos  — OVER 78.5 rushing + receiving yards (-110)

If you think this number seems high, you probably haven’t seen Gibbs or the Broncos’ D play this season. The rookie back has been one of the more explosive elements of Detroit’s offense, which has needed all the help it can get with the Lions’ D giving up 149 points over its past five games.

Gibbs needed just 14 touches to amass 82 scrimmage yards last week against the Bears. His ability to make plays as a runner and in the passing game has made him an invaluable presence for Dan Campbell’s squad, even if veteran power back David Montgomery remains the workhorse in the Detroit backfield. 

There are plenty of yards available for both backs this Saturday night. Denver has surrendered an NFL-high 124.7 rushing yards per game to RBs this season and another 40.5 passing yards per game to RBs on top of that (sixth-most). We expect Gibbs to easily reach 80-plus all-purpose yards for the seventh time in 12 games.

Jared Goff, QB, Lions vs. Broncos — OVER 0.5 interceptions thrown (+100)

We’re liking the plus odds we’re getting on Goff to throw a pick, especially considering he just threw his ninth and 10th interceptions last week against a choppy Bears secondary. Denver has quietly racked up the second-most takeaways per game (1.8) in the NFL this season, and the Broncos have won six of their past seven games, so they should force Goff to throw the ball plenty in what should be a competitive game.

Don’t be surprised if Sean Payton has his squad well-prepared to mount the upset in this one, with the surging Broncos continuing to ride into the playoff picture. (Side note: if you can find any odds on Denver making the postseason, pull the trigger — just look at the QBs left on the Broncos’ schedule: Jared Goff, Bailey Zappe, Easton Stick, Aidan O’Connell). 

Joe Mixon, RB, Bengals vs. Vikings — OVER 15.5 rushing attempts (-135)

We’re taking on a little juice here, but that’s just because we’re getting good value on this projected total. Mixon has seen an uptick in usage over the past two weeks with Burrow on the shelf with his wrist injury. The veteran back combined for 40 rushing attempts between Week 13 and 14, two games in which Cincinnati put up 34 points in a winning effort.

There’s no reason to think the Bengals will suddenly buck the trend and move away from a ground-and-pound approach against Minnesota. With Jake Browning under center against an underrated Vikings defense in what could be a cold-weather game with some precipitation, we like Mixon to rack up around 20 carries for the third week in a row. 

Zack Moss, RB, Colts vs. Steelers — OVER 72.5 rushing yards (-120)

At their core, the Colts remain a rush-first offense with or without Jonathan Taylor (thumb). We just saw Ezekiel Elliott decimate the Steelers last Thursday, propelling the two-win Patriots to a massive road upset. So, despite some underwhelming performances from Moss over the past few weeks, we’re still taking him hit this modest OVER on Saturday afternoon. 

Pittsburgh has uncharacteristically surrendered over 99 rushing yards per game to RBs this season, and it let New England rack up 117.9 total rushing yards last week. Take Moss to reach 75-plus rushing yards for the fourth time in eight starts.

Mitchell Trubisky, QB, Steelers at Colts — OVER 0.5 interceptions thrown (-150)

Just like my mentality with my kids at the movie theatre, sometimes the juice is worth taking on. In this case, we’re all for the -150 if it means we can get paid out on a Mitch Trubisky pick. The man could very well be the worst quarterback of the nearly 60 we have seen start in the NFL this season, a truth that seemed quite evident last Thursday when Pittsburgh inexplicably lost to a two-win Patriots team. 

Listening to that game on SiriusXM as I drove home from my rec. volleyball game, I heard Ian Eagle’s magical voice yell out the words “It was a dying quail!” when Trubisky floated a wobbler into the hands of Pats linebacker Jabrill Peppers. Boom, I thought, easy money. I had bet on both Trubisky and New England QB Bailey Zappe to throw interceptions, a gross but lucrative two-leg parlay.

You could take a similar approach this weekend by combining the pick props for Trubisky and Colts QB Gardner Minshew (-140) to total +185 odds, but we’re rolling with just Trubisky to give up the biscuit. Over the eight games in which the veteran backup has attempted 13 or more passes since September 2022, Trubisky has racked up eight interceptions. That’s a mouth-watering stat for the Colts, who rank fourth in the NFL with 13 picks this season. Feast on Mike Tomlin’s misfortunes and hammer the over on Mr. Biscuit’s oopsies. 

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