Brock Purdy MVP odds: 49ers QB overtakes Dak Prescott as award favorite after dominant win over Cardinals

If Brock Purdy manages to win the 2023 NFL MVP award, Week 15 might go down as the turning point.

As Dak Prescott struggled in tough conditions in a blowout loss to the Bills, Purdy stayed hot and diced up the Cardinals’ defense in Arizona to take the 49ers a step closer to securing the No. 1 seed in the NFC. 

The former undrafted free-agent entered last season as an afterthought on San Francisco’s depth chart, but injuries to Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo thrust him into action. Kyle Shanahan spoke glowingly of Purdy throughout the offseason, and so far, the Iowa State product has exceeded all expectations.

MORE: Which NFL teams have clinched a playoff spot?

The race for MVP has been crowded for much of the season, but Purdy appears to be separating himself as the decisive favorite entering the final three weeks of the season. Here are the latest odds for Purdy to win.

Brock Purdy MVP odds

Purdy is now a -200 favorite to be named NFL MVP, according to odds from Caesars Sportsbook.

The 23-year-old added to his terrific numbers with a dominant performance against the Cardinals on Sunday, but the bigger blow in the MVP race was likely the Cowboys’ loss to the Bills. While a shootout loss might not have seriously hurt Prescott’s chances, Dallas’ offense was totally shut down. Prescott finished 21 of 34 for 134 yards and an interception, averaging just 3.9 yards per attempt and snapping his streak of four consecutive games without an interception.

All quarterbacks hit bumps over the course of the season, but Purdy has arguably hit the fewest. He has posted a passer rating north of 120 in five of his last six games, with four games of at least three touchdown passes in that stretch. 

Just as Prescott’s chances took a hit against the Bills, Purdy faces a potentially daunting challenge against the Ravens in Week 16 that could swing the race heavily in either direction.

IYER: Debunking Cam Newton’s ‘game manager’ comments about Brock Purdy, Dak Prescott

Could the biggest threat to Purdy now be his own teammate? The great debate this season has been whether Purdy should receive most of the credit for his offense’s success when he has so many impressive weapons, and Christian McCaffrey’s 187-yard, three-touchdown performance against the Cardinals goes to show there’s an argument to be made for the running back in the MVP discussion.

McCaffrey has 1,801 scrimmage yards and 20 touchdowns through 14 games, easily leading all running backs.

Purdy took the humble route and made his position clear after Sunday’s win, telling reporters, “I think Christian should be MVP.” Purdy also referred to the 49ers as “an MVP team overall,” which seems to be the case.

Here’s a closer look at where McCaffrey stands in relation to Purdy in the race.

NFL MVP odds 2023

Not all oddsmakers consider McCaffrey a serious MVP candidate just yet — at least not at the level of Purdy, who sits at -200 to win the award according to Caesars Sportsbook.

Player Odds
Brock Purdy -200
Dak Prescott +380
Lamar Jackson +550
Christian McCaffey +1100
Josh Allen +1300
Jalen Hurts +1400
Tyreek Hill +1800
Patrick Mahomes +2500
Tua Tagovailoa +2800
Jared Goff +10000

MORE: How Kyle Shanahan prodded for D.K. Metcalf to ‘lose his mind’

Brock Purdy stats vs. Cardinals

Purdy finished 16 of 25 for 242 yards and four touchdowns in the 49ers’ 45-29 win over the Cardinals.

Because the 49ers tend to jump out to sizable leads and have the NFL’s most dominant running back, Purdy typically doesn’t see a massive workload in games. He’s thrown 30 passes or fewer in each of his last six games. Still, Purdy makes the most of his throws. 25 percent of his completions went for touchdowns in Arizona, with Deebo Samuel hauling in two scores and McCaffrey handling the remaining two. 

Purdy has carved up the Cardinals all season, as he finished with only one incompletion when he faced Arizona in October. Doing that against tougher competition will be the challenge in the playoffs, but for now, Purdy is performing at every turn for the NFL’s most intimidating team.

Source

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *