Next Premier League manager sacked odds: Updated list for 2023/24 season as Ten Hag, Hodgson among favourites

It took some time but we finally saw the first Premier League head coach depart his role in early December. Sheffield United’s Paul Heckingbottom paid the price for a desperate start to the season, with former boss Chris Wilder brought back to the club on December 5.

The second manager to depart was Steve Cooper, who was axed by Nottingham Forest six days before Christmas.

Erik ten Hag managed to steady the ship after a difficult start to his second season in charge of Manchester United but is yet to convincingly turn their form around and has remained consistently among the favourites for the sack.

Sean Dyche’s position at Everton all of a sudden feels locked in, particularly in light of the club’s points deduction and their superb recent form, but other clubs may decide that a change in management may be necessary as we head into the second half of the season.

The Sporting News looks at the latest picture on which Premier League manager could be the next to go.

MORE: Premier League fixtures: Complete schedule, dates, times

Next Premier League manager to leave odds

After Paul Heckingbottom was dismissed following Sheffield United’s 5-0 loss to Burnley, the next manager to leave his role was Steve Cooper, who was sacked by Nottingham Forest on Tuesday, December 19. Former Wolves and Spurs boss Nuno Espirito Santo replaced him.

Crystal Palace’s 2-1 defeat at Chelsea left them three points clear of the relegation zone and increased the pressure on boss Roy Hodgson, who apologised earlier in December for calling Crystal Palace fans “spoilt” amid a poor run of form and was the odds-on favourite to go next before the final round of games of 2023.

Despite a thrilling 3-2 victory over Aston Villa in which Manchester United recovered from 2-0 behind at Old Trafford, Erik ten Hag was also short odds to leave the Old Trafford hotseat. Those odds decreased after they were beaten yet again, this time 2-1 away to Nottingham Forest.

Elsewhere, Vincent Kompany’s Burnley are in danger of being cut adrift in the bottom three and expectations at Newcastle are higher than the recent results the mega-wealthy Magpies have achieved under Eddie Howe, including defeats to Nottingham Forest and Luton Town and an exit from European competition.

Odds after fixtures on December 30, 2023

Manager Club

Sky Bet (UK)

Roy Hodgson Crystal Palace 11/8
Erik ten Hag Man United 6/4
Eddie Howe Newcastle 5/1
Vincent Kompany Burnley 13/2
Mauricio Pochettino Chelsea 12/1
Marco Silva Fulham 20/1
Thomas Frank Brentford 20/1

First manager sacked in each Premier League season

The first manager sacked in Premier League history was Ian Porterfield of Chelsea, who lasted 29 matches before being axed in mid-February in 1993.

The fastest manager ever sacked in the Premier League was Kenny Dalglish, who was ousted at Newcastle United after just two matches into the 1998/99 season. Peter Reid, Bobby Robson, Frank de BoerJavi Gracia and Scott Parker were all given the boot after just four matches.

The first managers to go usually find themselves without a job at some time in the autumn or early winter. However, there was a notable outlier in 1999/2000: it took until March 21, 29 matchdays into the season, for the first manager to leave his role — that was Danny Wilson of Sheffield Wednesday.

Tottenham are the club that appears on this list the most, having been the first to part ways with their manager in four seasons. Newcastle appear three times, as do Chelsea and Sunderland.

Parker’s exit in 2022/23 came extremely early: on average, the first Premier League manager is sacked after 10.8 games. It wasn’t until 14 games into the 2023/24 that Paul Heckingbottom finally became the first manager to go for the season.

Season Manager Club Date Premier League
matches played
1992/93 Ian Porterfield Chelsea Feb. 15, 1993 29
1993/94 Peter Reid Man City Aug. 25, 1993 4
1994/95 Osvaldo Ardiles* Tottenham Nov. 1, 1994 12
1995/96 Roy McFarland Bolton Jan. 3, 1996 22
1996/97 Howard Wilkinson Leeds United Sept. 9, 1996 5
1997/98 David Pleat Sheffield Wed Nov. 3, 1997 13
1998/99 Kenny Dalglish Newcastle Aug. 27, 1998 2
1999/00 Danny Wilson Sheffield Wed Mar. 21, 2000 29
2000/01 Gianluca Vialli Chelsea Sept. 12, 2000 5
2001/02 Peter Taylor Leicester City Sept. 30, 2001 8
2002/03 Peter Reid Sunderland Oct. 7, 2002 9
2003/04 Glenn Hoddle Tottenham Sept. 22, 2003 6
2004/05 Bobby Robson Newcastle Aug. 30, 2004 4
2005/06 Alain Perrin Portsmouth Nov. 24, 2005 13
2006/07 Iain Dowie Charlton Athletic Nov. 13, 2006 12
2007/08 Martin Jol Tottenham Oct. 25, 2007 10
2008/09 Juande Ramos Tottenham Oct. 25, 2008 8
2009/10 Paul Hart Portsmouth Nov. 24, 2009 13
2010/11 Chris Hughton Newcastle Dec. 6, 2010 16
2011/12 Steve Bruce Sunderland Nov. 30, 2011 13
2012/13 Roberto Di Matteo Chelsea Nov. 21, 2012 12
2013/14 Paolo Di Canio Sunderland Sept. 23, 2013 5
2014/15 Neil Warnock Crystal Palace Dec. 27, 2014 18
2015/16 Brendan Rodgers Liverpool Oct. 4, 2015 8
2016/17 Francesco Guidolin Swansea City Oct. 3, 2016 7
2017/18 Frank De Boer Crystal Palace Sept. 11, 2017 4
2018/19 Slavisa Jokanovic Fulham Nov. 14, 2018 12
2019/20 Javi Gracia Watford Sept. 7, 2019 4
2020/21 Slaven Bilic West Brom Dec. 16, 2020 13
2021/22 Xisco Munoz Watford Oct. 3, 2021 7
2022/23 Scott Parker Bournemouth Aug. 30, 2022 4
2023/24 Paul Heckingbottom Sheff. United Dec. 5, 2023 14

*In 1994/95, West Ham manager Billy Bonds resigned before the official start of the season

Betting on first manager sacked or next manager

When betting on the first manager sacked in a Premier League season, it’s important to pay close attention to the title of the bet.

Sometimes, managers can depart of their own accord, or by “mutual consent”, leading to some questions around what constitutes being “sacked”.

Officially, the bet is often titled “Next Premier League Manager to Leave their Club”, which eliminates much of the confusion around what constitutes being fired, released, let go, or departing by mutual consent. For example, Pep Guardiola is highly unlikely to be sacked by Man City any time soon, but bookmakers think it’s conceivable he could leave amid the investigation into the club’s finances.

Additionally, when placing bets involving “Next Manager” for a club, the word “Permanent” is often included, meaning interim managers are not given consideration for a winning bet. Thus, if a manager is given an “interim” tag as a replacement, the bet remains open until the “interim” tag is removed or a new permanent boss is hired from elsewhere.

Premier League 2023/24 TV channels, live streams

MORE: Watch every Premier League match in Canada on Fubo

Region TV Streaming
Canada

Fubo Canada

UK Sky Sports, TNT Sports NOW TV, Sky Go,
Amazon Prime
USA USA Network,
Telemundo, Universo
Fubo, Peacock

UK: Matches are carried across Sky Sports and TNT Sports streaming and TV platforms, with select matches on Amazon Prime.

USA: Select matches are televised on USA Network (English) and Telemundo or Universo (Spanish), and all three channels can be streamed on Fubo. The rest of the matches are streamed on NBC platform Peacock for subscribers.

Canada: Every Premier League game this season is live streaming exclusively via Fubo in Canada.

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