Everton vs Crystal Palace prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for FA Cup third round replay

Following their drab scoreless draw in London a week ago, Everton and Crystal Palace square off for another 90 minutes as they look to decide who will advance through the FA Cup third round.

While replays have been scrapped from the fifth round onwards, the earlier rounds still feature the possibility of a second meeting. The initial match featured just six combined shots on target, three for each side, and Everton were forced to hang on after Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s controversial sending-off in the second half.

Calvert-Lewin will be available for Everton after his suspension was overturned on appeal, and Abdoulaye Doucoure appears ready to return from injury, as those boosts will give the Toffees a big lift despite Idrissa Gueye’s departure for Africa Cup of Nations duty with Senegal.

Crystal Palace, meanwhile, have won just twice across all competitions since the start of October, as Roy Hodgson’s position as Eagles manager seems in more peril with each disappointing result.

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Everton vs Crystal Palace prediction, odds

  • Moneyline lean: Everton (+105)
  • Score prediction: Everton 2-0 Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace has struggled mightily to score goals at a rate enough to win games, and they’ve lost their most creative player Jordan Ayew to AFCON duty, who leads the team in expected assists through Premier League play thus far.

Everton, meanwhile, have seen their most dangerous player remain away from his national team and return from injury as Abdoulaye Doucoure will give the Toffees a big boost up front. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been utterly tragic in front of goal this season, but Doucoure’s presence makes everyone better up front.

Everton win +105
Draw +225
Crystal Palace win +260
Both teams
to score Y/N
-130 / -110
Over / Under
2.5 goals
+100 / -150
to advance
Crystal Palace
to advance

Everton vs Crystal Palace match facts

  • Date: Wednesday, Jan. 17, 2024
  • Kickoff Time: 7:45 p.m. local (2:45 p.m. ET / 11:45 a.m. PT)
  • Location: Goodison Park (Liverpool, England)
  • Referee: Tony Harrington, VAR: Simon Hooper
  • Last meeting: Crystal Palace 0-0 Everton (Jan. 4, 2024 | FA Cup)

Everton vs Crystal Palace: best bet

  • Pick: Crystal Palace under 0.5 goals
  • Odds: +155 (DraftKings)

The Eagles have struggled mightily to create chances in recent weeks, which was all too evident in the first leg. While Everton did well to generate opportunities on goal but failed to finish, Crystal Palace had very few looks on net across the 90 minutes.

This season, not only is Palace 15th in the Premier League in expected goals, but they have an ugly -5.13 goal/xG differential to top it off, meaning they are struggling to create opportunities and also fail to finish those they do generate.

Everton doesn’t have the league’s best defensive unit, but they are better than your usual relegation candidate and should manage to keep the Eagles off the scoresheet. 

Everton vs Crystal Palace prop bet

  • Pick: Abdoulaye Doucoure to score or assist a goal
  • Odds: +175 (FanDuel)

Back from his injury, Abdoulaye Doucoure’s return gives Everton a massive boost up front. With Dominic Calvert-Lewin continuing to flop in front of goal, sporting an awful -4.07 goal/xG differential, Everton has looked to Doucoure for his presence in front of goal.

Doucoure has played 14 career matches against Crystal Palace and only scored one goal, but that came in the 3-2 Everton win earlier this Premier League season, indicating he’s finally figured out how to find spaces against the Roy Hodgson-led opponents.

Everton vs Crystal Palace live stream, TV channel

  TV channel Streaming
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The U.S. broadcast rights for the 2023/24 FA Cup are owned by ESPN, with all matches exclusively streamed on ESPN+ throughout the competition.


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