Inter vs Lazio prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Italian Super Cup semifinal

Following in the footsteps of the Spanish federation, the Supercoppa Italiana takes the plunge into a four-team mini-tournament in Saudi Arabia as Inter and Lazio clash in the semfinals.

In 2019, the Spanish federation expanded the Supercopa de Espana to four teams, creating a knockout bracket hosted in Riyadh which featured the past year’s La Liga winner and runner-up alongside the Copa del Rey winner and runner-up. The Italian federation has copied that model exactly, with this year’s competition the first of its new iteration.

Last year’s Coppa Italia winners Inter meet the league runners-up Lazio in this semifinal, while defending Serie A champions Napoli are drawn against the Cup runners-up Fiorentina.

Inter are the defending champions of this competition, defeating AC Milan 3-0 last year in Riyadh, the final edition of the old one-off format. Lazio are in the Supercoppa Italiana for the first time since they won it in 2019, defeating Juventus 3-1.

USA: Click here to see the latest odds for Inter vs Lazio and bet Supercoppa Italiana matches

Inter vs Lazio prediction, odds

  • Moneyline lean: Draw (+280)
  • Score prediction: Inter 1-1 Lazio

Lazio has given Inter serious trouble over the past few seasons, winning four and drawing two in the last 11 meetings across all competitions. Even in defeat they’re up to the task on the whole, with their most recent meeting ending 2-0 to Inter despite Lazio creating plenty of chances themselves but failing to find the net.

In addition, Lazio get Ciro Immobile back in full, as their regular striker had been missing since late December with a hamstring injury. He got 10 minutes off the bench against Lecce on Sunday and should be set to return, pushing Valentin Castellanos to the bench.

  DraftKings
(USA)
Inter Milan win -155
Draw +280
Lazio win +450
Both teams
to score Y/N
-110 / -115
Over / Under
2.5 goals
-110 / -130
Inter Milan
-0.5 goals
-170
Lazio
+0.5 goals
+115

Inter vs Lazio match facts

  • Date: Friday, Jan. 19, 2024
  • Kickoff Time: 8 p.m. local (2 p.m. ET / 11 a.m. PT)
  • Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh, Saudi Arabia)
  • Last meeting: Lazio 0-2 Inter (Dec. 17, 2023 | Serie A)

Inter vs Lazio best bet

  • Pick: Goal in interval (60′ to 75′) — YES
  • Odds: +140 (DraftKings)
  • Pick: Goal in interval (75′ to full-time) — YES
  • Odds: +100 (DraftKings)

These two sides love late drama, both against each other and just in general. If just one of these hits, at worst the double play breaks even, while the possibility of multiple late goals could see this bear real fruit.

In the last five meetings between Inter and Lazio, there have been seven goals from the 75th minute on, plus three more in the 15 minutes prior. On the whole this season, Inter have 14 goals in the final 15 minutes of matches, behind just the 15 of Roma for most in the league, and they have a Serie A best six goals from the 60th to the 75th minute. Lazio, meanwhile, have bagged nine of their 24 goals this season in the final half-hour, slightly ahead of pace.

At the back, Lazio have conceded eight of their 20 goals in that span as well, nearly half, and Inter are in the same range, with four of 10 goals conceded in that timespan. Lazio have conceded only two goals in their last four league games, but it feels like a red herring, all four opponents reside 13th and below.

Inter vs Lazio prop bet

  • Pick: Lazio double chance
  • Odds: +125 (DraftKings)

Inter and Lazio have had some real battles in recent years, meaning there’s a real question over how this match could end up. Inter have been by far the best side in Italy so far this season, but Lazio continue to challenge them hard no matter where each side sits in the table.

While the moneyline might be a bit risky in any direction here, Lazio to pick up a result is a better way to approach the match. It seems unlikely that they would pull out a win, but with Ciro Immobile back, you’d back them to give Inter a good run.

Inter vs Lazio live stream, TV channel

All broadcasters of Italian football across the world also retain the rights to the Supercoppa Italiana.

In the United States, that means CBS Sports has exclusive broadcast rights, with both the semifinals and finals streamed on their platform Paramount+.

In Canada, exclusive Serie A rights-holders Fubo will be the home of the 2024 Supercoppa Italiana, while in the UK the matches will be broadcast by Viaplay.

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