Super Bowl 2024 opening odds, line, spread: SN’s experts make betting picks for 49ers vs. Chiefs

With the smoke still clearing from an awesome NFL Championship Sunday, the opening odds have gone live for the Chiefs vs. 49ers in Super Bowl 58. San Francisco opens as a slight -120 favorite on the moneyline, -1.5 against the spread, with the over/under set at 47.5. Kansas City’s line as a slight underdog opened at +100.

In the betting world, time is money — and the earliest bets often yield the most value. Thus, the Sporting News has decided to act now and release its betting experts’ opening moneyline, spread, and over/under bets for the Big Game.

We get it — a ton of time remains between now and the Super Sunday kickoff in Las Vegas on Feb. 11 — and we have a mountain of Super Bowl betting content lined up for you between now and then. But if you want our SN betting experts’ instant reactions to the opening SB odds, as well as our gut feelings for who will hoist the Vince Lombardi Trophy, you’ve come to the right place. 

Let’s get right to our expert roundtable’s opening moneyline, spread, and over/under picks for Super Bowl 58 between the Chiefs and 49ers.

Super Bowl 2024 predictions: Expert picks for Chiefs vs. 49ers

Sloan Piva, betting analyst: Chiefs 27, 49ers 23

  • Chiefs win straight up (+100) and cover the spread (+1.5)
  • 50 points goes OVER the total (47.5)

We’ll be playing some Tina Turner after Super Bowl 58 because Patrick Mahomes is “simply the best”. Travis Kelce reemerging as the most dominating pass-catcher in football at just the right time hasn’t hurt, either, nor has the tough running of second-year back Isiah Pacheco.

The Chiefs look unstoppable at the right time, and their dynasty will extend to three Super Bowl wins in four years. Maybe Kelce will propose to Taylor Swift as the confetti rains down on them after the game.

Vinnie Iyer, NFL writer: Chiefs 31, 49ers 27

  • Chiefs win (+100) and cover (+1.5)
  • 58 points sails OVER the total (47.5)

Defense, coaching, and Patrick Mahomes are all on Kansas City’s side. Although the 49ers can be confident with their offense around Brock Purdy and Christian McCaffrey, their defense — especially against the run — has developed into a real concern in the playoffs. Mahomes is motivated to repeat (so are fellow difference-makers Travis Kelce and Chris Jones) and San Francisco doesn’t have enough to get in their way and halt their momentum.

Jacob Camenker, senior NFL content producer: Chiefs 27, 49ers 23

  • Chiefs win (+100) and cover (+1.5)
  • 50 points goes OVER the total (47.5)

The 49ers have the tools needed to run on the Chiefs, but if San Francisco can’t get pressure on Patrick Mahomes, it could be a long day for the 49ers defense. With Kansas City’s offense heating up in recent weeks, the Chiefs might have what it takes to knock out the 49ers and repeat as Super Bowl champions.

Matt Lutovsky, senior NFL editor: Chiefs 24, 49ers 20

  • Chiefs win (+100) and cover (+1.5)
  • 44 points goes UNDER the total (47.5)

San Francisco is better on paper, but the Chiefs are playing better football right now. Perhaps the two-week break will cool down their red-hot defense, but I’m not betting against the best QB in football when he’s going against an up-and-comer who’s been merely “meh” in the playoffs. The defenses should shine, but the Chiefs will find a way to sneak out a win.

Bill Bender, senior NFL writer: Chiefs 30, 49ers 24

  • Chiefs win (+100) and cover (+1.5)
  • 54 points cruises to the OVER (47.5)

Isiah Pacheco is the X-factor and the Chiefs’ defense won’t allow more than 24 points. But it comes down to a storied connection — the one between Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce — as the difference-maker that propels the Chiefs to back-to-back Super Bowl championships.

Paul Costanzo, Catena Media: Chiefs 27, 49ers 24

  • Chiefs win (+100) and cover (+1.5)
  • 51 points goes OVER (47.5)

San Francisco’s defense has been leakier than anticipated in these playoffs, while the Chiefs have been as advertised on that side of the ball. A reinvigorated Travis Kelce doesn’t hurt, either.

Travis Pulver, Catena Media: 49ers 27, Chiefs 20

  • 49ers win (-120) and cover (-1.5)
  • 47 points barely goes UNDER (47.5)

The Chiefs get out to an early lead, much like they did against the Ravens. However, Kyle Shanahan will make the necessary adjustments at halftime and the 49ers will control the second half.

Kristopher Johnson, Catena Media: Chiefs 28, 49ers 20

  • Chiefs win (+100) and cover (+1.5)
  • 48 points goes slightly OVER (47.5)

You may have heard this before: Mahomes will be the difference in the end. The man has an uncanny ability to come through in the clutch.


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