Super Bowl MVP odds: Kelce, McCaffrey favorites after QBs, but which longshots are live?

The regular season MVP Award has become the best quarterback award in recent years, but the Super Bowl MVP is a one-game performance — offering a chance for any player to parlay a huge game into the award. Just two seasons ago, Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp took home the Super Bowl MVP. 

Two of the last five Super Bowl MVPs were wide receivers, with Julian Edelman winning the award in 2019. A running back has not won the award since 1998, when Terrell Davis won the award, and a tight end has never won a Super Bowl MVP. The Super Bowl matchup between the 49ers and Chiefs arguably features the best running back and tight end in the NFL.

While Patrick Mahomes and Brock Purdy remain the Super Bowl MVP favorites, Christian McCaffrey and Travis Kelce are the next two players with the best odds. Let’s take a look at which players might offer value in the Super Bowl 58 betting market. 

Super Bowl MVP odds

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Odds to win Super Bowl 58 MVP and award trends

In the past 10 seasons, quarterbacks have won Super Bowl MVP six times, wide receivers twice and linebackers twice. A two-time Super Bowl winner will play in the game, with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback.

The 49ers also could climb into the top three of most Super Bowl MVP winners if they have a player take home the award. The 49ers have five Super Bowl MVP winners; with another one, it would tie them at six MVP winners with the Patriots and Steelers. The Dallas Cowboys lead all teams with seven Super Bowl MVP winners. While the Cowboys have six Super Bowl Championships, Chuck Howley remains the only player to win the Super Bowl MVP on the losing team. 

Related: Super Bowl betting odds | Super Bowl prop bets49ers Super Bowl odds & prop bets  | Chiefs Super Bowl odds & prop bets

Super Bowl MVP bets to consider: Travis Kelce & Brock Purdy

The most likely winner of the Super Bowl MVP is the guy with the best odds, Patrick Mahomes (+150), but it doesn’t provide much value for your wager. Brock Purdy (+235) has much better value; on paper, he will likely have less competition for the award from his teammates. 

That is why we like Brock Purdy and Travis Kelce as our favorite two Super Bowl MVP bets, as they offer value combined with a solid opportunity to win the award.

Brock Purdy odds to win Super Bowl MVP

While there is no argument that Purdy will be the second-best quarterback in the matchup with Patrick Mahomes. He has spent his entire NFL career embracing the underdog role, has excelled in it and exceeded all expectations for being Mr. Irrelevant. Not to mention, he has a much more talented supporting cast — San Francisco spreads the ball around, so it is unlikely that any one skill player will perform so well that they would take the award from Purdy. But that’s only if the 49ers win the game…

Travis Kelce odds to win Super Bowl MVP

Travis Kelce has spent the entire season in the spotlight, and as the spotlight grew in the playoffs, he has shined his brightest. He has 23 receptions for 262 yards and three touchdowns in the playoffs. Also, remember this will be the fourth Super Bowl Kelce is playing in. Over his first three appearances, he has 22 receptions, 257 yards and two touchdowns.

There is an argument that if the Chiefs had beaten the Bucs in Super Bowl 55, Kelce may have been the MVP. He had 10 receptions for 133 yards, a massive performance but not good enough to win the award in a losing effort. Kelce has also drawn a ton of attention by dating Taylor Swift, which can’t hurt his chances if he has a big day and the Chiefs win. 

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Longshot Super Bowl MVP bets to consider

There are also some long-shot odds for players with lesser roles who could absolutely step up and affect Super Bowl 58. Here are a few of our favorite longshots:

Rashee Rice odds to win Super Bowl MVP

The Chiefs’ No. 1 wide receiver has been impressive in his rookie season. Over the first 10 games of the season, Rice did not drr more than seven targets in a single matchup. Over the last six games in the regular season, Rice had nine or more targets in all but one.

Throughout the playoffs, Rice has averaged 8.3 targets a game and 6.6 catches. He has 223 receiving yards and a touchdown as well. If the 49ers put extra defensive attention on Kelce, Rice could benefit from extra targets and the opportunity for an MVP performance.

Chase Young odds to win Super Bowl MVP

The former No. 2 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft was acquired by the 49ers in a midseason trade. After dealing with many injuries and inconsistent play throughout his career in Washington, he has been solid for San Francisco. At just 24 years old, Young has not reached his prime yet — the talent is there, and if the Chiefs focus on stopping Nick Bosa, Young could have an opportunity for a breakout performance.  

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