Raptors vs. Pacers prediction against the spread, moneyline best bets and over-under player props

The Raptors went 2-8 in the 10 games following their trade of Pascal Siakam to the Pacers. Since that stretch, they are 4-3 and seem to be righting the ship as they head to Indy to face Siakam, Tyrese Haliburton, Myles Turner, and company.

We’re bringing you a comprehensive betting preview for this Eastern Conference showdown, including the odds and our best bets, top props, and final score prediction

We’ve won on each of our past three Raptors best bets, including spread wins against Atlanta on Friday and Brooklyn on Thursday. So you’ve come to the right place!

Let’s run it back with our betting preview for Raptors vs. Pacers. We’ll take a closer look at both teams and how they match up, and ultimately reveal which bets and props yield the most value on BetMGM.

Raptors at Pacers prediction against the spread, moneyline best bet

All odds and props are from BetMGM, an authorized gaming operator of the NBA.

  • ATS: Pacers -6.5 (-110) | Raptors +6.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Pacers -250 | Raptors +200
  • Over/under: O 245.5 (-110) | U 245.5 (-110)

The sportsbooks continue to sleep on the Raptors, who just blew the doors off the Nets on Thursday and then one night later delivered the road upset over the Hawks (who were ironically also -6.5 home favorites).

Sure, the Pacers are the fastest-paced and highest-scoring offense in the NBA. But 6.5 points? A -250 moneyline, which translates to a 71.4-percent implied win probability? That just seems like disrespect.

The over/under of 245.5 seems more on point, considering these squads combined for 252 when they last met a couple weeks ago on Valentine’s Day.

Indiana averages the most points per game (123.7) and the most home PPG (126.5) in the NBA this season, while the Raptors have averaged a very respectable 116.9 PPG on the road.

MORE NBA: Expert predictions for the rest of the season

We’ve been all over the Raptors since they started retooling to better benefit Scottie Barnes. We’re sticking with them tonight — at least against the spread — against an Indiana team that surrenders the third-most points per game in the NBA (122.0) and the most PPG at home (120.9). 

Darko Rajaković won’t sniff Coach of the Year this season, we can all agree on that. However, if he can keep this Raptors team playing this level of inspired basketball despite the departures of O.G. Anunoby and Pascal Siakam, he probably deserves at least a mention.

The Pacers have won three games in a row and six of their past eight, so clearly they’re riding high. They just blew Luka Doncic and the red-hot Mavs out of the water 133-111 on Sunday, ending Dallas’s seven-game winning streak. But Indy might be tired from the back-to-back, and Toronto showed us just 12 days ago that it matches up well with the Pacers.

MORE: Why Pascal Siakam was the perfect addition for Indy

That game finished 127-125 Indy, and that was despite Toronto shooting 6-of-26 from three-point land, missing seven shots at the free throw line, and losing the turnover battle by seven. How did the Raptors manage to keep things so close? They scored a whopping 84 points in the paint and out-rebounded Rick Carlisle’s squad 56-39. 

Now they come into Gainbridge Fieldhouse with the confidence that they can (and probably should) beat these Pacers.

Barnes continues to evolve as a playmaker who will do whatever it takes to chip in. Immanuel Quickley has been scintillating lately. Jakob Poeltl has returned to full health and looks like a walking double-double again.

Gary Trent and Gradey Dick are shooting lights-out. Veterans Kelly Olynyk and Bruce Brown — the latter of whom came from Indy in the Siakam deal — have been fantastic additions. This isn’t a tank-squad, folks. This team could mess around and land in the NBA Play-In conversation. 

NBA Tickets: Raptors at Pacers tickets start at just $27 on StubHub

Eight of the Raptors’ nine players scored double-digit points in the win over Atlanta on Friday. Now they had two days off to prepare for a Pacers squad that just played Luka and company last night? Yeah, we’ll take the undies with the points.

Over the 17-game stretch since the Raps traded away Pascal Siakam, they have scored 116 or more points 11 different times. They have covered eight spreads during that span.

Buy a couple points to make it Toronto +8.5 if you want some extra insurance, but we’re not so sure you’ll need it. These Raptors believe, and it might be time for us to start believing, too. 

FINAL SCORE PREDICTION: Pacers 128, Raptors 123 — The Hawks win (-250) but the Raptors cover the spread (+6.5) and the total goes OVER (245.5).

Raptors vs. Pacers top player prop bet

Jakob Poeltl double-double — Yes (+165)

Poeltl has been very impressive over the past few weeks, averaging a 13.1-point, 10.2-rebound double-double over Toronto’s past nine games. He has five double-dubs in that nine-game span (he came one board short twice), but he recorded 19 points and 11 rebounds the last time these teams met.

This guy is money in the (Scotia)bank — he has nine double-dubs over his last 16 games, and the departures of Siakam and Precious Achiuwa have only strengthened his case as Chairman of the Raptors’ Boards. This is great value!

Other props we like: Trent OVER 2.5 three-pointers (+130); Immanuel Quickley OVER 0.5 steals (-155); Scottie Barnes OVER 27.5 points + assists (-120)


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