Raptors vs. Mavericks picks against the spread and moneyline plus player props predictions

The Raptors have caught fire of late, with their trade-deadline retooling around franchise player Scottie Barnes clearly working in a major way. They have now won three games in a row and five of their past eight contests, with a spot in the NBA Play-In Tournament appearing more and more feasible. 

Toronto will look to carry over momentum in a huge home game on Wednesday night versus Luka Doncic and the Mavericks (7:30 p.m.), for which we will provide you with a detailed betting preview with all odds courtesy of BetMGM — picks against the spread, player and game prop over-unders and moneyline predictions.

Can the Raptors extend their winning streak to four games and inch closer to the Hawks in the 10th seed? Or, will Doncic and Kyrie Irving come in on Luka’s birthday and grind Toronto’s streak into a screeching halt? Let’s dive into the odds for Raptors vs. Mavericks on Wednesday night, and unveil our best bets and top props for this Scotiabank showdown. 

Raptors vs. Mavericks picks against the spread and moneyline

All odds and props are from BetMGM, an authorized gaming operator of the NBA.

  • ATS: Mavericks -6.5 (-110) | Raptors +6.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Mavericks -450 | Raptors +350
  • Over/under: O 232.5 (-110) | U 232.5 (-110)

The Mavericks enter as a fairly significant road favorite, as they hold a 33-24 record that looks like the exact opposite of Toronto’s 22-36 record. The Mavs have won seven of their past 10 games, and they have a modest road record of 15-11 on the season. 

Dallas does enter on the tail end of a road back-to-back, having faced the red-hot Cavaliers in Cleveland on Tuesday night. The Raptors, meanwhile, have been off since their 130-122 Monday night upset over the Pacers in Indiana.

Don’t think that will slow Doncic and company much, though — Dallas has averaged 123 points per game over the past five games it has played on the tail-end of a B2B. The Mavs also surrender 118.7 PPG per road game, and the Raps have scored 116 or more points in 12 of Toronto’s 18 games since trading Pascal Siakam.

MORE: Is Tim Hardaway Jr. a legit 6th Man of the Year candidate?

Raptors vs. Mavericks predictions, best bets

Has Darko Rajaković as a dark-horsee Coach of the Year candidate picked up steam yet? Well, maybe not, but we’re certainly starting to think he at least deserves a mention. The Raptors have traded away Pascal Siakam, O.G. Anunoby, and Precious Achiuwa and became markedly improved.

Over the 18 games since trading Siakam, Toronto has covered nine spreads and scored 116-plus points a dozen times. Darko is getting contributions from his entire rotation:

  • all-around brilliant play from franchise cornerstone Scottie Barnes (he had 21/12/12 in Indiana on Monday!)
  • confident scoring and playmaking from R.J. Barrett, Immanuel Quickley, and Gary Trent
  • energy infusions and microwave scoring from Gradey Dick and Ochai Agbaji
  • strong interior presence from walking double-double Jakob Poeltl
  • veteran leadership and basketball IQ from Kelly Olynyk and Bruce Brown

This team that many labeled a fire sale or tank-in-action messed around and became a legit NBA squad. Now it just needs to start beating other legitimate squads for people to start buying in. A win over the Pacers Monday was a start. Defeating the Mavericks — and dousing the Doncic birthday candles with cold water — would be an even greater feat.

MORE: Barnes proving he’s the face of Toronto’s future

Toronto might have a chance to pull off this upset. Sure, the Mavs have gone 8-3 over the past month, but looking at their past five losses we see that teams who play tough, physical defense and crash the boards can beat Dallas.

Indiana did it with Myles Turner and company most recently, and the Bucks, Wolves, Kings, Suns, Celtics, Lakers, and Pelicans have all done it since mid-January. Push the Mavs around when they have the ball and keep them honest defensively when you have the ball and you have a good chance of prevailing. 

Toronto has moved the ball so well during this stretch that it can win any game on any day if (a) the shots are falling, (b) the Raps are clamping down on D, and (c) everybody’s rebounding. 

The Raptors have hovered around the top 10 in fewest three-pointers allowed during their three-game winning streak, with opponents hitting just 12 per game and shooting just 30.4 percent from beyond the arc. They’re also out-assisting opponents by an average of 32.0 to 24.3, and now rank third in the NBA in dimes (29.3).

Like it or not, NBA fans, this recent run by Toronto is no fluke — and we might have to start thinking of the Raptors when we think about Play-In Tournament time. The Mavs may prevail this evening, but we think it can be a productive loss for this up-and-coming young Raptors squad.

FINAL SCORE PREDICTION: Mavericks 125, Raptors 120 — The Mavs win (-450) but Toronto covers the spread (+6.5), and the total goes well OVER (232.5)

Raptors vs. Mavericks: Top player prop bet

Luka Doncic points — OVER 33.5

Doncic has been an absolute beast once again this season, and he has basically become the unofficial king of the high-scoring era. He averages a whopping 34.5 points per game while maintaining absurd shooting splits of 49/38/78.

While he scored “only” 31 in the first meeting against Toronto, he won’t have to deal with either OG Anunoby or Pascal Siakam this time around. Take the over on Doncic, especially if  yu expect Toronto to keep it close.

It’s also Doncic’s birthday and to celebrate, our friends at SuperDraft are offering up a Luka special. Include him on any $5 entry and even with a loss, SuperDraft will credit back a $5 ticket. That’s free money!

Here are our favorite picks to combine with the Doncic over:

  • Scottie Barnes OVER 28.5 points + assists (-125 on BetMGM)
  • Jakob Poeltl double-double (+150 on BetMGM)
  • Kyrie Irving OVER five assists (SuperDraft)

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