PSG vs Real Sociedad prediction, odds, expert betting tips and best bets for Champions League second leg

With the Ligue 1 title seemingly already in the bag, Paris Saint-Germain look to take the next step in their quest for the trophy they truly desire as they visit Real Sociedad for the second leg of their Champions League Round of 16 matchup in Spain.

The French giants secured a comprehensive 2-0 victory in the first leg at home, proving solid in all phases as La Real succumbed to a deepening of their second half slump. It provides PSG with a strong aggregate advantage to rest upon, eyeing a spot in the quarterfinals.

La Real did wonderfully to secure a Champions League berth by finishing fourth in La Liga last season, and looked a tough out as they won a very difficult Group D, but they have fallen off a cliff in 2024, winning just one of their last seven matches across all competitions as their injury issues deepen and form evaporates.


Looking to turn around a two-goal advantage in what would be a famous result, the task is truly mountainous. Kylian Mbappe and PSG have been known to collapse in the second leg of European matchups in recent years, having been bounced in the Round of 16 in each of the last two years, but those defeats came against Bayern Munich and Real Madrid, the calibre of which La Real are most certainly not.

USA: Click here to see the latest odds for PSG vs Real Sociedad and bet Champions League matches

PSG vs Real Sociedad prediction, odds

  • Moneyline lean: PSG (+170)
  • Score prediction: Real Sociedad 1-3 PSG

It seems patently absurd that Real Sociedad are favoured in this match against PSG, who were deserving winners in the first leg from Paris. Since then, La Real have barely beaten Mallorca on the road, lost to Villarreal at home, and suffered Copa del Rey elimination by Mallorca at home.

PSG, meanwhile, continue to coast in Ligue 1 play, with two wins and two unlucky draws since the first leg victory. Given the presence of superstar Kylian Mbappe, the form of both sides, and how the first leg played out, PSG at significant plus odds feels like a gift, even if they decide to sit back and protect their aggregate advantage.

PSG vs Real Sociedad match facts

  • Date: Tuesday, Mar. 4, 2024
  • Kickoff Time: 9 p.m. local (3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT)
  • Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian, Spain)
  • Referee: Michael Oliver (ENG), VAR: Stuart Attwell (ENG)
  • Last meeting: PSG 2-0 Real Sociedad (Feb. 14, 2024 | Champions League)

PSG vs Real Sociedad best bet

  • Pick: Over 2.5 total goals
  • Odds: -115 (DraftKings)

The offensive abilities for both these teams seem to have escaped them in recent weeks, but there are peripheral signs that they should manage to provide thrills for fans in this midweek match, even if PSG hope to sit on their aggregate lead.

Real Sociedad sorely missed Takefusa Kubo while he was away on Asian Cup duty, but since he’s been back, he has looked his usual bright self up front. Kubo created three chances during the first leg in Paris, and collected three more in the Copa del Rey draw with Mallorca. After being rested in the weekend defeat to Sevilla, he should have his full energy reserves to fight for a comeback.

PSG, meanwhile, have looked bereft of attacking abilities up front as Luis Enrique plays a weird cat-and-mouse game with Kylian Mbappe, benching him against Nantes and yanking him at halftime and 60 minutes in their next two matches. Yet in the Champions League, which PSG covet, Mbappe should be leaned on more heavily as PSG look for a goal or two to put this one away.

PSG vs Real Sociedad prop bet

  • Pick: Takefusa Kubo to score or assist a goal
  • Odds: +180 (FanDuel)

Since returning from Asian Cup duty, Japanese star Takefusa Kubo has been exceptional for Real Sociedad, to very little return. He has ripped off 11 shots (worth 1.2 xG) and delivered 10 more key passes (worth 0.96 xA) through his three La Liga matches, while contributing heavily in the Copa del Rey exit as well. His goal against Mallorca in their league victory was crucial, and he will be essential if La Real are to attempt a turnaround here at home.

PSG will look to keep a lid on this match as best they can, and it will be Kubo’s influence that will lift the hosts in any potential stunner.

PSG vs Real Sociedad live stream, TV channel

The exclusive English-language rights-holder for the UEFA Champions League in the United States is CBS, who streams every single match on Paramount+. Additionally, this match has been chosen for television broadcast on the CBS main network channel, which is available to stream on Fubo.


In Canada, every match of the 2023/24 UEFA Champions League is streamed by DAZN. In the UK, this knockout stage game will be televised on TNT Sports 2 and streamed on their platform discovery+, while the other match between Bayern Munich and Lazio at the same kickoff time will be on TNT Sports 1.

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