Bucks vs. Suns prediction, player props, best bets against the spread and moneyline

The Suns and Bucks will face off in Milwaukee on Sunday for a must-watch matinee and rematch of the 2021 NBA Finals. Today we will detail everything you need to know from a betting standpoint for this clash of the titans, including odds, best bets and top player props.

A lot has changed for these teams in the past three years. The Suns sent Monty Williams packing and brought in Frank Vogel, while the Bucks have shuffled through Adrian Griffin and Doc Rivers since dismissing Mike Budenholzer last summer. Both squads have also changed things up considerably with their backcourts in just the past year.

Chris Paul no longer runs point in Phoenix, with the elite trio of Devin Booker, Bradley Beal and Kevin Durant now handling the majority of the ball-handling duties in the Valley and Grayson Allen quietly enjoying his best season as a pro. For Milwaukee, the Damian Lillard-Malik Beasly pairing has meant less defense/more offense than Jrue Holiday/Allen last year, which Rivers has attempted to fix since taking over head-coaching duties in late January.

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We should be in for some Sunday afternoon fireworks offensively and we can’t wait to get some bets in for this one. Let’s get right to the odds, then discuss the stats and trends to know as well as our best bets and top props from BetMGM.

Bucks vs. Suns prediction, player props, bets against the spread and moneyline

All odds and props are from BetMGM, an authorized gaming operator of the NBA.

  • ATS: Bucks -2.5 (-105) | Suns +2.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Bucks -175 | Suns +195
  • Over/under: O 234.5 (-105) | U 234.5 (-115)

Not surprisingly, the Bucks enter the weekend as modest home favorites. They have won seven of their past 10 games and have a pristine 26-7 record at Fiserv Forum, where they average 122.8 points per game (third-most home PPG in the NBA). Thats nearly six more PPG than Phoenix averages on the road this season (117.0). 

On the injury front, Milwaukee could go without sharpshooter Malik Beasley (back). Fellow three-point marksman Khris Middleton (ankle), who has been sidelined for weeks, remains out. Eric Gordon (knee) and Josh Okogie (abdomen) are considered day-to-day for Phoenix.

Bucks vs. Suns predictions, best bets

Doc Rivers and the Bucks have gone 8-3 since the All-Star break. Milwaukee appears to have settled into the Doc era, and Doc seems to be a bit less curmudgeonly than he was when he first landed the job. 

The Bucks have been especially good at home, where they have gone 26-7 on the season and 10-3 dating back to January. The Suns, meanwhile, have lost five of their past eight road games and they have dropped each of their past five games against the Bucks at Fiserv Forum. 

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The biggest issue Phoenix has endured over its most recent stretch of road games — and all season, really — has been finding offense outside of the core four of KD, Book, Beal, and Allen. With Eric Gordon on the shelf against Boston on Thursday, deadline acquisition Royce O’Neal missed all seven of his shot attempts and no Suns player outside the core four made more than four buckets.

Phoenix also experiences some size issues against teams like Milwaukee. Jusuf Nurkic has been fantastic on the glass as of late — but if he gets into foul trouble against front courts like Giannis, Brook Lopez and Bobby Portis, trouble finds the Suns in a hurry.

Milwaukee has been cooking with gas, so we like the Bucks to even the season series at 1-1 on Sunday. Phoenix got the better of Milwaukee when these teams last met in February (114-106), but Dame didn’t play in that game and the Bucks still nearly pulled off the upset in enemy territory. This one should be all Milwaukee, with Giannis and Lillard combining for 60-plus and the Bucks cruising to their 27th win at home. 

FINAL SCORE PREDICTION: Bucks 123, Suns 115 — The Bucks win (-175) and cover (-2.5), and the score finishes OVER the projected total (234.5)

Bucks vs. Suns: Top player prop bet

Brook Lopez blocks — UNDER 1.5 (-115)

Last year, the OVER on BroLo blocks was practically a lock from game to game. This year, the veteran center remains solid defensively but often looks a bit slower around the rim in his age-35 season. He has fewer than two blocks in 20 games this season, and in four of Milwaukee’s past seven games. Phoenix has surrendered the seventh-fewest swats this season (4.7 per game), and we just don’t see many Suns testing BroLo down near the interior. This should be an easy UNDER.


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