Will Warriors make the 2024 NBA Playoffs? What to know about Golden State’s schedule, odds with Rockets in pursuit

Three weeks ago, the Western Conference Playoff picture appeared to be set. But in the blink of an eye, the Rockets ripped off an improbable winning streak and are now on the brink of pushing the Warriors out of the Play-In Tournament.

At the same time Houston’s hot streak began, Golden State started to struggle, leaving the door open for the Rockets to steal the final Western Conference Play-In Spot.

The Warriors currently own just a one-game lead over the Rockets for the No. 10 seed. All-Star guard Stephen Curry only played 30 minutes in a four-point loss to the Timberwolves on Sunday, and head coach Steve Kerr was adamant that the weight of Golden State’s playoff race shouldn’t fall solely on Curry’s shoulders.

“We can’t expect to just ride Steph game after game after game,” Kerr told the media. “These last few weeks have been really tough on him. We’ve put the burden of this franchise on his shoulders for 15 years … If you want to say that him playing 30 minutes instead of 32 is a difference in a win and a loss, I totally disagree with that.”

Curry has still been his usual self, averaging a team-leading 26.8 points per game, but he hasn’t had much help. While Jonathan Kuminga has been a savior, Klay Thompson has had an up-and-down season. The Warriors have gotten contributions from Draymond Green and rookie wing Brandin Podziemski, but Chris Paul has been in and out of the lineup due to injury. Andrew Wiggins had also been away from the team for personal reasons.

The Warriors have been anything but consistent all year. Now, they’ll have to fight to the finish just to make the Play-In Tournament.

MORE: Draymond Green and Desmond Bane add to Warriors-Grizzlies beef

Warriors remaining schedule

The Warriors have nine games left in the season, including one crucial matchup against the Rockets in Houston on April 4.

Golden State has the seventh-easiest schedule remaining in the NBA, according to Tankathon. That is more favorable than the Rockets, who have the sixth-toughest remaining schedule.

You can find the rest of the Warriors’ 2023-24 schedule below.

Date Opponent Time (ET) TV channel
March 31 at Spurs 7 p.m. NBA TV
April 2 vs. Mavericks 10 p.m. TNT
April 4 at Rockets 8 p.m.
April 5 at Mavericks 8:30 p.m.
April 7 vs. Jazz 8:30 p.m.
April 9 at Lakers 10 p.m. TNT
April 11 at Trail Blazers 10 p.m.
April 12 vs. Pelicans 10 p.m.
April 14 vs. Jazz 3:30 p.m.

MORE: Stephen Curry weighs in on Caitlin Clark comparisons with high praise

Warriors NBA Playoff projections

As of March 26, the Warriors have a 26.5 percent chance of making the playoffs, according to Basketball-Reference’s Playoff Probabilities Report.

For comparison, the Rockets have an six percent chance of making the postseason.

The Ringer gives Golden State a 92 percent chance of making the Play-In Tournament and a 26 percent chance of making the playoffs.

Western Conference standings

The Warriors have a one-game lead over the Rockets for the final spot in the Western Conference Play-In Tournament. The Lakers aren’t in the clear by any means, sitting only 1.5 games ahead of Golden State and 2.5 games ahead of Houston.

You can find the full Western Conference playoff picture below.

Records through Friday, March 29.

Rank Team Record GB
1 Timberwolves 51-22
2 Thunder 51-22
3 Nuggets 51-23 0.5
4 Clippers 46-27 5
5 Pelicans 45-28 6
6 Mavericks 44-29 7
7 Suns 43-31 8.5
8 Kings 42-31 9
9 Lakers 41-33 10.5
10 Warriors 39-34 12
Rockets 38-35 13

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