Iowa betting odds to win women’s basketball National Championship following Elite Eight win over LSU

The legacy of Caitlin Clark and the Hawkeyes continues to grow — Iowa has punched its ticket to the Final Four in Cleveland after a massive victory over defending-champion LSU in Monday night’s rematch of the 2023 title game.

Now that Clark and company have exacted revenge on the Lady Tigers, fellow superstar Paige Bueckers and the UConn Huskies stand in the way of Iowa’s road back to the national title game. We’ll take a look at the Hawkeyes’ updated odds to come out of the Final Four and win the elusive national title.

Exact betting numbers have yet to be revealed, but BetMGM projected the Iowa-LSU Elite Eight battle to be the most heavily bet game in women’s basketball history.

Nothing involving Clark surprises us anymore, including the nine three-pointers she dropped against the Tigers en route to a 41-point, 12-assist, seven-rebound performance. More records shattered, another giant foe slayed. 

Let’s get to Iowa’s updated BetMGM odds to win the national championship, as well as its odds to come out of the Final Four.

Iowa betting odds to win women’s basketball National Championship

After its epic Elite 8 victory against LSU, Iowa remains the second-favorite to cut down the nets in Cleveland. The Hawkeyes’ odds have shortened considerably from +600 Monday morning. 

All odds courtesy of BetMGM

Team Odds
South Carolina -225
Iowa +330
Connecticut +800
NC State +1600

As you can see, unbeaten South Carolina (36-0) remains the odds-on favorite to win the title. Rarely do we see such heavy odds for a team to win it all before the Elite Eight even begins, but Dawn Staley’s squad proved to be the exception to that rule. The -225 translates to a nearly 70 percent implied win probability. 

Perhaps even more fascinating, Iowa and LSU were +600 and +750 at second and third on the futures board in national title odds before their Elite Eight game. That told us before that game even tipped that the winner would be heavily favored to make the national title game by prevailing over the victor of the USC-UConn game. Geno Auriemma’s Huskies prevailed over the Trojans — now they’ll face their toughest test of the season.

Many betting analysts and college hoops pundits have referred to Iowa and LSU’s paths to the championship in the Albany 2 region as the “death bracket.” The region didn’t just feature both national championship teams from last year, arguably the two best current teams not named South Carolina — it also featured UCLA, Kansas State, Creighton, and Colorado. 

We knew Iowa would see a significant bump in odds to win the national title if it could get past LSU. However, considering BetMGM has already posted “South Carolina vs. the field” odds (giving the field +170 odds, no less) — we don’t expect any of what we saw on Monday night — or anything we’ll see in the Final Four — to displace the Gamecocks as the odds-on favorites.

MORE: Buy tickets to the Final Four!

Iowa vs. UConn betting odds to make the National Championship game

Team Odds Spread
Iowa TBD  

As soon as the Iowa-UConn odds go live, we will list the opening odds to Iowa’s Final Four matchup. We expect oddsmakers will list the Hawkeyes as moderate favorites, as they were -2.5/-130 to beat LSU and we rank the Lady Tigers a little higher than the Huskies and Trojans. 

One thing we know: this has been some of the best college hoops in recent March Madness memory, and we can’t wait to see how the remainder of this epic tournament unfolds. 


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