2024 Men’s Final Four odds, props, ATS predictions for Alabama vs. UConn and NC State vs. Purdue

Everybody loves an underdog this time of year, and NC State can pull off the biggest upset in March Madness history by winning it all as a No. 11 seed. 

Villanova still stands as the lowest seed to ever win the NCAA Tournament. In 1985, No. 8 ‘Nova toppled No. 1 seed Georgetown to make college basketball history.

Does the Wolfpack have the wherewithal to win two more games against Purdue and likely UConn? Incredibly, NC State has reeled off nine consecutive wins. The Wolfpack needed the first five — all in the ACC Tournament — to assure a spot in the Big Dance.

The more likely scenario, of course, is Purdue pushing past the ‘Pack to face UConn in the national championship game on Monday. The Huskies and Boilermakers are big betting favorites in Saturday’s semifinal games.

Here we examine Final Four odds, props and ATS predictions knowing that things don’t always go according to plan when March Madness comes to a close. 

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NC State vs. Purdue odds, props, and ATS prediction

Here are college basketball betting odds from top-rated sportsbooks for NC State vs. Purdue. These odds will update automatically. 

Purdue’s Zach Edey was phenomenal in the Elite Eight win over Tennessee. The reigning two-time player of the year registered a career-high 40 points and grabbed 16 rebounds. 

It will be a treat to see NC State’s burly forward DJ Burns Jr. help defend against Edey in the low block. Edey is going to get his even when being double teamed by Burns and Mohamed Diarra. The Wolfpack absolutely need to limit point guard Braden Smith, who was fairly quiet against Tennessee with just nine points.

NC State guard DJ Horne has been the model of consistency in March Madness. He’s averaged 16.5 ppg in the tournament and 16.8 on the season. The Wolfpack need Horne and Burns (also 16.8 ppg) to be at their very best offensively to have a chance to pull the upset here.  

NC State also needs to bring its “A” game with perimeter defense. Purdue ranks second in the nation with a 40.6% shooting percentage from behind the arc. The last thing State needs is Purdue’s trio of guards in Smith (43.9%), Lance Jones (35.5%) and Fletcher Loyer (44.1%) going wild from long distance.  

Expect a spirted effort from NC State with the Wolfpack doing just enough to cover, but failing to advance. 

Pick: NC State

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Wolfpack vs. Boilermakers player props

Let’s offer up a favorite player prop for each team ahead of NC State vs. Purdue.

NC State’s DJ Horne OVER points

As noted, both Horne and Burns average 16.8 ppg. We selected Horne due to the fact that Edey will present a problem for Burns down low.

Horne has gone OVER this total in his past two games against good defensive teams in Duke and Marquette, respectively. Nobody on NC State shoots it better from three than Horne at 40.9%. He leads the team with 103 3-pointers on the season.

Zach Edey OVER rebounds

Edey has eclipsed this number in every tournament game so far. He opened March Madness with an eye-popping 21 boards against Grambling State. Bet the OVER with confidence here.

Read more: Best NC State vs. Purdue player prop odds, picks

Alabama vs. UConn odds, props, ATS prediction

Here are the latest odds for Alabama vs. UConn:

How can UConn be laying this many points to the nation’s highest scoring team in Alabama? Simple, its defense will hold the Crimson Tide well below the 90 points it averages. 

UConn is riding a five-game winning streak ATS including its win over Marquette in the Big East Tournament championship game. All five of those games went UNDER the total, too.

You’ve heard that title-contending teams need to rank among KenPom’s top-25 in terms of both offensive and defensive efficiency. Well, UConn’s first in offense and fourth in defense in his current rankings.

Expect UConn’s Donovan Clingan to be a difference maker in this game. Clingan helped the Huskies roll to a 25-point win over Illinois in the Elite Eight. Clingan’s stat line revealed his dominance on both offense and defense:

  • 22 points
  • 10 rebounds
  • Five blocks
  • Three steals 

That’s doing some serious work for a 7-foot-2 center. UConn’s loaded with other offensive weapons including guard Tristen Newton (team-high 15 ppg). All five starters score in double figures, too.   

Alabama will have to shoot it exceptionally well from 3-point range to keep this one close. The Crimson Tide lean heavily on guard Mark Sears (team-high 21.5 ppg and 92 3-pointers made), and UConn is more than capable of containing him and running away with this one.

Pick: UConn

Crimson Tide vs. Huskies player props

Let’s look at a pair of player props for Alabama vs UConn.

Mark Sears UNDER points

Did you see how UConn clamped down on the nation’s third-leading scorer in the Elite 8? Terrence Shannon averages 23 ppg for Illinois. The Huskies limited Shannon to eight points on 2-of-12 shooting from the floor and no 3-pointers.

Now comes Sears and an Alabama offense that will try to run and gun its way to a win. Ain’t happening. We love UConn’s chances of keeping Sears UNDER this number.   

Stephon Castle OVER points

UConn’s freshman guard scored a grand total of two points in the Elite 8 win over Illinois. Castle contributed in other ways with six boards, five assists and a block.

Expect a bounce-back offensive performance here with a game script featuring an up-tempo pace. He eclipsed this number with 16 points against San Diego State and 14 against Stetson earlier in the tournament.

Read more: Best Alabama vs. UConn player prop odds, picks

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