Barcelona vs Valencia prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for La Liga match Monday

With very little left to play for this season, Barcelona look to finish off a disappointing campaign full of near-misses as they host Valencia in a La Liga match on Monday.

Humbled in El Clasico last weekend amidst a controversial finish, Barcelona now sit 11 points behind leaders Real Madrid with six games remaining, mathematically still in the title race but realistically all but put to the sword. Out of the Champions League and Copa del Rey as well, there is nothing left for Barca to fight for except to hold off third-place Girona who sit two points back and would love nothing more than to end the season above the Catalan giants.

Xavi could have potentially been coaching for his future at the club, but after reports of his agreement to an extension, there’s not even that motivation to drive them the rest of the way.

Valencia, meanwhile, have European qualification squarely on the line across their last six games of the season. Sitting eighth in the table, they are one measly point behind seventh-placed Real Betis, and four back of sixth-place Real Sociedad. With Athletic Club winning the Copa del Rey and almost surely qualifying for Europe through table position, seventh will likely be good enough for a Europa Conference League spot.

USA: Click here to see the latest odds for Barcelona vs Valencia and bet La Liga matches

Barcelona vs Valencia prediction, odds

  • Result lean: Valencia double chance (+200)
  • Score prediction: Barcelona 1-1 Valencia

Barcelona have very little to play for this season, and while a few young players will have reason to earn playing time heading into the coming campaign, other more tenured players will be lacking motivation to perform at the highest level.

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Additionally, Barcelona have suffered three of their four league defeats at home this season, while Valencia have turned around their poor road form from the first half of the campaign to produce far better results away from home in recent months. Valencia have not won a true road game at Barcelona since 2016, but did manage a draw here in 2020 as well as at home in this year’s reverse fixture, so a positive finish here would be far from a historic result.

  BetMGM
(USA)
Barcelona win -250
Draw +380
Valencia win +675
Both teams
to score
Y: -115
N: -125
Over / Under
2.5 goals
O: -165
U: +120
Barcelona
-1.5 goals
+100
Valencia
+1.5 goals
-140

Barcelona vs Valencia match facts

  • Date: Monday, Apr. 29, 2024
  • Kickoff time: 8 p.m. local (3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT)
  • Location: Lluis Companys Olympic Stadium (Barcelona, Spain)
  • Referee: TBD, VAR: TBD
  • Last meeting: Valencia 1-1 Barcelona (Dec. 16, 2023 | La Liga)

Barcelona vs Valencia best bet

  • Pick: Under 2.5 total goals
  • Odds: +120 (BetMGM)

The toughest part for Valencia here to get a result is for them to find the net, as they have produced the third-lowest expected goals tally this season in La Liga, but they also excel at preventing the opponent from racking up chances as well.

Valencia saw a streak of five matches under the total snapped last time out when they fell 2-1 to Real Betis, as their biggest asset continues to be Giorgi Mamardashvili, who sports the highest post-shot xGOT differential by far of any La Liga goalkeeper, having prevented +8.6 xGOT worth of efforts through the season to this point.

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While Barcelona rack up oodles of chances on the regular in La Liga play, they are underperforming in the finishing department, as Robert Lewandowski continues to fade into oblivion.

Barcelona vs Valencia prop bet

  • Pick: Lamine Yamal to score or assist a goal
  • Odds: +105 (FanDuel)

The brightest spot amidst an otherwise disappointing Barcelona season has undoubtedly been the rise to prominence of key young players who have seen their stars shoot into the Catalonia night sky. Chief amongst them is 16-year-old Lamine Yamal who continues to perform like a seasoned veteran repeatedly.

Yamal has largely been unlucky not to profit more from a goal contribution standpoint — he produced three shots on target against Real Madrid last time out without finding the net, but did assist Barcelona’s only goal in the second leg against PSG and has been bright off the bench at times as well. He should factor in heavily down the stretch as Xavi prioritises giving the youngsters more playing time.

Barcelona vs Valencia live stream, TV channel

  TV channel Streaming
USA ESPN Deportes Fubo USA, ESPN+, WatchESPN
Canada  — TSN+
UK Premier Sports 1 Premier Sports Player, LaLigaTV

In the United States, this Monday La Liga match will be televised in Spanish on ESPN Deportes, which is available to stream on Fubo. An English-language broadcast is available to stream on ESPN+, where every single game of the La Liga season can be found.

In Canada, the match will be streamed exclusively on TSN+, while in the UK the match will be broadcast on Premier Sports 1, formerly known as Viaplay, with streaming available on LaLigaTV.

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